Archive for February, 2018

Posted by Martin February 28, 2018

Good news is bad news

How many times have you seen that revising GDP down (which means economy is slowing) is a good news for the market (as stocks climbed higher upon this GDP revision)? I know many will argue that it will mean “danger to economy” and thus less interest hikes. But it is all bullshit. Our interest rates Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Looking for evidence of a bias

I advocate not to predict the market and its move. I advocate not to get into looking for evidence to confirm your own bias. I must admit that I am now guilty of doing so. It is difficult to stay unbiased when a trader has certain positions and you wish the market would do what Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Powell tanked the market but on a very low volume

Powell testified in front of the Congress and tanked the market. But did he? Maybe he sparked this selling but it was expected. We recovered most of the correction in a fast pace. This recent correction was fast and in one wave and we recovered in the same fast pace… and in one wave. However, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Powell speaks, market craps

Although he said nothing spectacular, nothing everybody already knew (except maybe that everybody expected three interest hikes while he mentioned four) and market went on a selling frenzy again. At some point this freaked me out a bit as my recently rolled SPX calls into puts got into trouble and I rolled them back into Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 26, 2018

The market cleared 50 DMA today

Many stock operators recently claimed that we are in a bearish market which will turn lower and retest the February lows before it turns up higher. Others were spooked of inflation claiming that it is a game changer and that the stock market is heading towards the long waited bear market. Some called for the Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 24, 2018

Overreacting spooked investors are realizing their spookiness


Posted by Martin February 24, 2018

Opening and closing trades in Friday

I was at the meeting almost entire day on Friday so I missed nice rally. But it is OK. In the stock market there is no day of missed opportunity (well, you can miss your opportunity if you decide to stay out and sell all your positions (close them) out of fear or panic and Continue reading →

Weekly Results – Feb 23, 2018

  Our IRA account is fully recovered by now. Unless something bad happens again, our monthly chart record will look like no correction ever happened. This is what every investor and trader should do – never panic, never over react; have your plan, strategy in place and let others to panic and scream. You execute Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 22, 2018

Another day on Wall Street

Another rocky week on Wall Street. Markets recovering falling recovery. Is this the end of a pullback? The morning trading looked promising as the markets opened higher (about 11 points) and soon reached almost 30 points gains. But I decided to wait and see how this rocky boat floats.     In the morning, I Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 21, 2018

Rising economy, rates – rattle… falling economy – die

Earnings growth for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 in 1Q 2018 have come in at +14.8% and +16.1% year-over-year, respectively. And rattled investors are worried about inflation and interest rates. I wonder what they will do when the music really stops? I guess they will crap not just their pants… maybe even die. Today’s Continue reading →