Posted by Martin March 14, 2018

Market weak but still on path higher

The market was weak today again. Spooked investors afraid of Trump’s trade war, slowing economy, technicals lagging, retails lagging, inventory too high, supplies too low, dollar too weak, yen too strong, infrastructure this, cash flow that, debt too high, oil higher today but lower tomorrow, and who knows what else which will be totally unimportant Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 13, 2018

There is no chaos in WH… it’s only Trump looking for new talents

This morning the stock market opened higher and rallied… until we found out that Trump was looking for new talents by firing Tillerson. But don’t worry, it is not a chaos… it is a new energy!     However, the stock market didn’t like the fact of Trump reducing the “best collection of talents since Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 12, 2018

Why you are wrong celebrating 10 years anniversary of this bull market

I have seen media saying that this is the longest bull market in history. I have seen people predicting the end of this bull market in 2017 and now in 2018. Some people were predicting this bull market to end in 2013, 2014, 2015, and 2016. Others were predicting the collapse since 2009. To answer Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 09, 2018

Stock market rallies after volatile week

Now that the Trump’s tariffs are out of the way, the over reaction of market participants is finally over and we are back on track of the bull market rally. But, be cautious as this may end quickly at any time.     I took advantage of this rally and opened a few new trades Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 06, 2018

Cohn resigned futures crapped

Once confident investors pushing this market higher are now spooked by anything and everything. Trump once boasted about the stock market, talking heads were praising him, investors had bright future in front of them and the bull was unstoppable. It all changed suddenly on a dime. They are now all spooked by the same man Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 05, 2018

Fear is gone, or is it?

Trump’s tariffs were an overreaction, probably better to say an excuse for selling. Today, Trump and his administration eased up on their rhetoric and conditioned any tariffs upon renegotiating NAFTA treaty which caused the market rally hard again. Will this last or are we going to find some other reason for getting the market slammed Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 02, 2018

February 2018 trading, investing, results

February is over and it was a very wild month. Very volatile, dramatic, and to some scary month. At the beginning of the month the market corrected more than 10%, then we recovered some but Powell first then Trump with his tariffs sank the markets again. No matter how scary these moves are, I actually Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 01, 2018

Trump sinks the stocks this time on his tariffs announcement

If it wasn’t Powell, it is now Trump and his tariffs announcement. However, it is all just excuse for large investors and trades to unload and possibly buy back again cheaper as small guys start running in panic. On this blog I try to advocate having clear head and stay calm. Listen to big investors Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 28, 2018

Good news is bad news

How many times have you seen that revising GDP down (which means economy is slowing) is a good news for the market (as stocks climbed higher upon this GDP revision)? I know many will argue that it will mean “danger to economy” and thus less interest hikes. But it is all bullshit. Our interest rates Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Looking for evidence of a bias

I advocate not to predict the market and its move. I advocate not to get into looking for evidence to confirm your own bias. I must admit that I am now guilty of doing so. It is difficult to stay unbiased when a trader has certain positions and you wish the market would do what Continue reading →