Posted by Martin May 28, 2015

Nothing exciting before GDP data adjustment.

The market did exactly what I expected. It went down and later recovered the selling. But the recovery wasn’t strong enough to push the market higher, so it ended down. Tomorrow we will see GDP revised. This may be a market mover. Will it be taken positively or negatively by the investors? Normally, I would Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 27, 2015

FED Conundrum

Sometimes I like to be wrong in my market move expectations. Like today. I expected the market to move lower yet it moved up. It recovered almost all losses from yesterday. I have a few long positions so it obvious that I wanted to be wrong in my expectations. It looks like, we have experienced Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 26, 2015

$SPX market expectation for Wednesday, May 27th

(05/26/2015 HS) – Market took a hit today. Quite large one, compared to the non-moves we have seen in previous days. The S&P 500 lost 1% today. It could have been more, but at the last hour the market rallied and erased some losses. Should we be worried? Hard to answer that question. The market Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 25, 2015

$SPX market expectation for Tuesday, May 26th

(05/25/2015 HS) – On Friday, last week, I expected the market to move higher. I expected FED to be taken positively by investors as they would see that FED will most likely postpone interest rates hike due to slowing economy. I didn’t have time to watch or read what actually Yellen said, but overall results Continue reading →

Posted by Guest May 20, 2015

OPEC Struggling To Keep Up The Pace In Oil Price War

Some market watchers, such as Cornerstone Analytics (CA), have consistently stated that the underestimation of demand, coupled with over-estimation of supply, will mask the growing call on OPEC oil in the second half of this year. CA recently noted that global demand outstripped supply by some 4 million barrels in April . This comes in Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 18, 2015

My stock market prediction for tomorrow

When I say “stock market prediction” I do not necessarily mean predicting where it ends up. Just trying to assess the direction of the market. Yesterday, I called the market to go up based on all of my technical indicators pointing up. Today the picture is not as clear as it was yesterday. I see Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 17, 2015

Is the stock market poised to break its bad luck?

Not that I believe in good or bad luck of the stock market as it is purely driven by participant state of mind and mostly their irrational behavior. By “its bad luck” I refer to already infamous “iron ceiling” as some people called it. We are once again dwelling near the all-time highs and investors Continue reading →

$SPX market expectation for May 1st 2015

Today we saw a big sell off on Wall Street. Media say it was because of bad economic reports we saw recently from big companies. Who knows what caused this crash, but the reality is that we are now oversold. I do not expect much from this market as we again failed to move higher Continue reading →

$SPX once again fails to break the resistance. Another fall down is likely, read why!

Last week the market broke the descending resistance (the top of the falling triangle) which gave hope to many investors turning bullish. I myself was also fooled by this market (again) into believing that we finally see a break out. Friday’s trading moved the markets into the new all-time-highs and I decided to reverse my Continue reading →

Posted by Martin April 20, 2015

Where is $SPX heading next? I expect down and here is why.

I was wrong many times in predicting the direction of this market. For about five months the market headed nowhere. We are range bound between 2000 and 2100 level with a few over shots which are immediately sold off. Although the overall long term bullish trend is intact, we are undergoing either a huge consolidation Continue reading →