Posted by Martin March 05, 2018

Fear is gone, or is it?

Trump’s tariffs were an overreaction, probably better to say an excuse for selling. Today, Trump and his administration eased up on their rhetoric and conditioned any tariffs upon renegotiating NAFTA treaty which caused the market rally hard again. Will this last or are we going to find some other reason for getting the market slammed Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 02, 2018

February 2018 trading, investing, results

February is over and it was a very wild month. Very volatile, dramatic, and to some scary month. At the beginning of the month the market corrected more than 10%, then we recovered some but Powell first then Trump with his tariffs sank the markets again. No matter how scary these moves are, I actually Continue reading →

Posted by Martin March 01, 2018

Trump sinks the stocks this time on his tariffs announcement

If it wasn’t Powell, it is now Trump and his tariffs announcement. However, it is all just excuse for large investors and trades to unload and possibly buy back again cheaper as small guys start running in panic. On this blog I try to advocate having clear head and stay calm. Listen to big investors Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 28, 2018

Good news is bad news

How many times have you seen that revising GDP down (which means economy is slowing) is a good news for the market (as stocks climbed higher upon this GDP revision)? I know many will argue that it will mean “danger to economy” and thus less interest hikes. But it is all bullshit. Our interest rates Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Looking for evidence of a bias

I advocate not to predict the market and its move. I advocate not to get into looking for evidence to confirm your own bias. I must admit that I am now guilty of doing so. It is difficult to stay unbiased when a trader has certain positions and you wish the market would do what Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Powell tanked the market but on a very low volume

Powell testified in front of the Congress and tanked the market. But did he? Maybe he sparked this selling but it was expected. We recovered most of the correction in a fast pace. This recent correction was fast and in one wave and we recovered in the same fast pace… and in one wave. However, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 27, 2018

Powell speaks, market craps

Although he said nothing spectacular, nothing everybody already knew (except maybe that everybody expected three interest hikes while he mentioned four) and market went on a selling frenzy again. At some point this freaked me out a bit as my recently rolled SPX calls into puts got into trouble and I rolled them back into Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 26, 2018

The market cleared 50 DMA today

Many stock operators recently claimed that we are in a bearish market which will turn lower and retest the February lows before it turns up higher. Others were spooked of inflation claiming that it is a game changer and that the stock market is heading towards the long waited bear market. Some called for the Continue reading →

Posted by Martin February 24, 2018

Overreacting spooked investors are realizing their spookiness

   

Weekly Results – Feb 23, 2018

  Our IRA account is fully recovered by now. Unless something bad happens again, our monthly chart record will look like no correction ever happened. This is what every investor and trader should do – never panic, never over react; have your plan, strategy in place and let others to panic and scream. You execute Continue reading →