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Posted by Martin March 06, 2021
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2021 Week 9 investing and trading report


Another week and the first week of March 2021 is gone and our investing and trading report can be closed in the books, again. This week was painful as the selling continued pushing pressure on our cash and net-liquidation value. We had to start releasing cash from our ICSH fund to avoid margin calls. Having enough cash saved was mind relieving. We opened more trades this week but I must admit, I regretted that. I should have remained in cash and buy more shares of stocks such as APPL. However, our options income exceeded my expectations. We made more money than I expected but due to the market weakness, our net liquidation value didn’t move. The net-liq didn’t move much despite selling out there.

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $31,593.32 -$94.31 -0.30%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $1,421.00
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%
03 March 2021 Options: $1,421.00 +4.50%
Options Premiums YTD: $10,514.00 +33.28%
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $6.65
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00
03 March 2021 Dividends: $6.65
Dividends YTD: $122.69
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 3.58%
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 7.26%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $3,202.52 11.34%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $16,885.37 59.81%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $52,191.71 184.86%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $216,348.10 766.30%
Portfolio Alpha: 26.67%
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.62
CAGR: 714.01%
AROC: 26.52%
TROC: 29.59%
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 11.45%
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 74.61%

 

We received $1,421.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings this week. For the entire March 2021, we received $1,421.00 premiums. We increased our stock holdings from $29,034.92 to $30,044.95 of the current, non-adjusted market value. All our income was reinvested back into stocks.
 

Open trades

 

Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. My goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

These trades alone block approximately $20,332.53 of buying power, an increase of $2,032.53 and 11.11%. I have not tracked this metric of our portfolio before but I will start tracking it to see if my trading is scaling up or down and how it impacts the net-liq of our portfolio and eventually, how it may affect our portfolio during the stock market downturn.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 4.50% monthly ROI, totaling a 33.28% ROI.

Our account decreased to 53.57% YTD growth. We are still happy with this result.
 

Our options trading averaged $3,504.67 this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $42,056.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

We are still on track to attempt fixing our SPX trades that still block approximately $12,000 in our buying power. We set a buy-back order for deep OTM put spreads for 0.10 debit. Once these get closed, we will roll the deep ITM higher and sell new OTM put spreads to offset the cost. It will be a slow process but I believe, it will be worth releasing an additional $12,000 in cash. As I said last week, we will be rolling these trades only if it will be resulting in credit rolls or a wash. If rolling for a credit or a small debit (no more than $10 or $15) will not be possible, we will let those trades go. The recent sell-off in the market would help with rolling these trades although that same selloff is putting pressure on my cash that needs to be used to roll the trades.

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

I am still interested in some growth stocks that would boost my portfolio in the long run. I have created a screener in Finviz.com to help select stocks that are more solid investments and growth potential rather than the speculative penny stocks in overhyped industries such as “electric vehicles”. The screener returns stocks that are considered by analysts, institutional investors, and insiders as a great investment and that these stocks are accumulated by these investors. The stocks also create revenue and growth and increase that growth.

Stocks from this screener we will be accumulating for the long run are currently Cutera, Inc. (CUTR) and The Blackstone Group Inc. (BX). More stocks like that may be added in the future. As long as these stocks appear in the screener results, I will be accumulating them. Once I reach 100 shares of each, I will start selling covered calls.

Here is a picture of the screener and all settings if you want to follow it and try it for yourself.

 
Finviz Screener
 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy in our fund. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. Last week, we started accumulating Aflac (AFL) stock to reach 100 shares. As of today, we own 46 shares

We want to accumulate 100 shares of each stock in our watchlist or list of stocks we want to own. This lot of shares is not, however, the end number. Once we are fully invested (own all stocks we want to own), then we will start adding on top of those 100 shares.

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks but also create a weekly dividend income from these stocks All it takes to create a weekly dividend income is to buy 12 stocks to spread the income for every week. I created this dividend calendar and track the stocks I want to buy to get this goal done fast.
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

However, I am also interested in adding some high-yield, yet still safe, dividend earners to further boost our dividend income. I found a few good stocks and closed-end funds, candidates I believe are worth accumulating. Every month I will be posting these stocks, accumulation progress, or stock removal from the portfolio. These stocks or funds may be riskier than the aristocrats and I plan on monitoring them carefully. When the stocks no longer meet my criteria and/or underperform, I will remove them from our portfolio. My first list for March accumulation can be found here.

Trading options

We will continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), it covers our call sides of each trade and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

Our fund in charts:

TW Account Net-Liq week 8
 

TW Account holdings week 9
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 6.42% with options, our holdings are up 12.23% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 32.81% since inception. Our stock holdings underperform the overall market since the inception of the fund (up only 12.23% on a cumulative basis). However, this week, our adjusted stock holdings significantly beat the market. The market gained 2.97% YTD, our portfolio adjusted stock holdings grew by 5.25% YTD (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

TW Options Income week 9
 

TW Options Annual Income week 9
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 9
 

We will continue trading options and accumulating dividend-growth stock next week and report our results on Saturday next week. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin March 05, 2021
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Stocks to accumulate in March 2021


Here are our stocks to accumulate in March 2021. We plan on accumulating these stocks although it will depend on our available cash. We also plan on reaching 100 shares of each stock so we can start selling covered calls (using the wheel strategy).

The goal is to accumulate high dividend yield stocks that provide safe dividend but also provide capital growth (that is, however, a secondary goal; the primary goal is income, that can be reinvested).
 

Stocks to accumulate list:

Ticker Name Today’s
Price
Estimated
Annual
Dividend
Estimated
Yield
Accumulated
AFL Aflac 49.95 0.33 2.42% 46.0%
OMF OneMain Holdings 52.70 7.06 14.35% 0.0%
APAM Artisan Partners 47.91 3.08 6.69% 0.0%
ASG Liberty All-Star 8.83 0.66 7.44% 0.0%
QYLD Global X NASDAQ Cov Calls 22.06 0.23 11.49% 10.0%
CHI Calamos Convertible Opps 13.88 1.14 8.11% 0.0%
CSQ Calamos Total Return 16.58 1.23 7.54% 0.0%

 

Do your own due diligence if you decide to invest in these stocks. The information here is believed to be accurate but may have changed since publishing.
 
 




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Posted by Martin March 04, 2021
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5% to 10% correction


Today, the stock market went down again marking a drop below the 5% threshold and beginning a 5% to 10% correction. It now counts for 16 days of selling and choppy movement up and down. As of today, we closed 5.9% off of the peak. And it may not be over yet as fear is out there.

Today’s drop below 5% started our counter. However, this type of correction is normal and to be expected. It can end here, or develop into something more serious. We can go 10% down or even more as people start panicking and selling everything.

 
5% to 10% correction
 

These are the times I like to be in high-quality dividend stocks because no matter what happens from now on, I still will be receiving my dividends and my stocks most likely recover the losses. In fact, I will be buying more shares if the market keeps going down.

 

Adding high yield dividend stocks to fight the 5% to 10% correction

 

Despite the selling pressure I decided to boost our portfolio with some high yield dividend stocks and raising more cash reserves. I did some reading and research hoping to find some good stocks that can provide income and perform well during market tension.

I found the following stocks:
 

QYLD
Global X NASDAQ Cov Calls
ETF Monthly (NASDAQ Covered Calls)
Price: $21.75
Yield: 11.49%
 
CHI
Calamos Convertible Opps
Closed-End Monthly (U.S. Stocks & Bonds)
Price: $14.16
Yield: 8.05%
 
CSQ
Calamos Total Return
Closed-End Monthly (U.S. Stocks & Bonds)
Price: $16.42
Yield: 7.49%
 
APAM
Artisan Partners Asset Mgmnt.
Private Equity
Price: $45.77
Yield: 6.73%
 
OMF
OneMain Holdings
Div. Speculators (Personal Loans)
Price: $51.06
Yield: 13.83%
 

Bullish case

 

Investors are selling stocks despite good economic data and a dovish stance from Powell. And reason? Rising bond yields.

They say: “Higher rates are bad for stocks.”

That might be true, then you look at the data.

The truth is a higher 10-year yield has been extremely bullish for stocks, especially since the mid-’90s.

 
Bullish case
 

Bearish case

 

And here is a not-so-good view. It is evident that the stock market is significantly detached from the underlying earnings. Either earnings will catch up or valuation must go down:

 
Bearish case
 

But then, there is that pesky FED…

 




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Posted by Martin February 28, 2021
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Why there is no bubble except fear bubble


The only bubble out there is the fear bubble.

The best way to look at the psychology of the markets and how Wall Street works. And the best way to look at market psychology is to look at VIX.

The long-term mean value of VIX is between 10 and 20, see the blue box. Recently we saw a large spike in March 2020 due to covid but the fear has not disappeared. VIX is still well above 20 (27.95 as of today). That means that there is a lot of fear out there and investors are hedging and buying protection. Money is flowing out of the equities and into protective and defensive vehicles or sidelines. That’s not how bubbles are created and how they burst.

In order for this to be a bubble and burst, you need to see money flowing into equities, everybody investing in stocks, VIX dropping well below 20 (more like 10 – 12) indicating large complacency among investors. That is not what we are seeing in the market today. Every spike in VIX started when VIX was trading at 12 or around.

 
Fear Bubble today
 

This is what you want to see first to happen before there will be any serious sell-off again. And given the dynamic of the VIX today, dropping below 20 would take some time, possibly the entire 2021. However, there still may be spikes and pullbacks but not any serious crashes.

 
VIX must drop
 

The House of Representatives approved the $1.9 trillion stimulus package this last Saturday and that may add more fuel to the market to go higher. Polls show that up to 37% of people eligible to get the stimulus check will invest it or save it. This behavior may prop the market higher but not if there is fear out there and people sitting on the sidelines and saving money in savings accounts or buying protective hedges.

We need VIX to get down first to see a bubble of everything to burst.




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Posted by Martin February 27, 2021
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2021 Week 8 investing and trading report


February 2021 is gone and our investing and trading report can be closed in the books. February was a good month despite the market selling off the last few days. Our options income exceeded my expectations. We made more money than in January but due to the market weakness, our net liquidation value didn’t move. That made me wonder why since we made money.

 

But now, let’s jump to our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $31,687.63 $47.03 +0.15%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $1,309.00
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%
03 March 2021 Options: $0.00 0.00%
Options Premiums YTD: $9,093.00 +28.70%
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $2.08
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00
03 March 2021 Dividends: $0.00
Dividends YTD: $116.04
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 3.48%
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 5.91%
Portfolio Alpha: 22.63%
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.56
CAGR: 732.69%
AROC: 25.07%
TROC: 31.10%
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 74.83%

 

We received $1,309.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings this week. For the entire February 2021, we received $4,884.00 premiums. That is almost $5,000 for the month. If I received such income, why our net liquidation value has not moved? I looked at the numbers and I saw it. I had more trades open than before this week that required more buying power, and I increased our stock holdings from $18,179.67 to $29,034.92. All our income was reinvested back into stocks. But because the market was weak the last few days, our margin requirements and stocks moving mostly down suppressed the net-liquidation value of our account.
 

Open trades

 

Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all my open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. My goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

These trades alone block approximately $18,300 of buying power. I have not tracked this metric of our portfolio before but I will start tracking it to see if my trading is scaling up or down and how it impacts the net-liq of our portfolio and eventually, how it may affect our portfolio during the stock market downturn.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 15.41% monthly ROI, totaling a 28.70% ROI.

Our account jumped up to 54.03% YTD growth. We are very happy with this result.
 

Our options trading averaged $4,546.50 this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $54,558.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

We are still on track to attempt fixing our SPX trades that still block approximately $12,000 in our buying power. We set a buy-back order for deep OTM put spreads for 0.10 debit. Once these get closed, we will roll the deep ITM higher and sell new OTM put spreads to offset the cost. It will be a slow process but I believe, it will be worth releasing an additional $12,000 in cash. As I said last week, we will be rolling these trades only if it will be resulting in credit rolls or a wash. If rolling for a credit or a small debit (no more than $10 or $15) will not be possible, we will let those trades go.

Accumulating Speculative Stocks

We have sold all speculative “innovative, disruptive” (whatever you call them) stocks. We no longer hold stocks such as ISR, DDD, NIO, NNDM, RESN, XONE, and other similar penny stocks. They do not fit my strategy and I do not believe in them. Overall, I do not feel comfortable with the volatility and risk they provide. One example could be DDD (3D Systems Corporation). That company has been around since 1983 (more than 30 years) yet it has not been able to provide any significant breakthrough that would keep this stock and industry hot for decades in the same manner as Apple (AAPL) or Amazon (AMZN) did in the past and continues to do so today.

Yes, there was a spike of interest in 2012 – 2014 when 3D printing progressed so much that the printers became smaller and capable of printing the entire cars, for example. Even NASA became interested and experimented with 3D printing in space. And people kept rushing into 3D printing companies buying their stocks. After the big fuzz ended in 2014, the stock collapsed and traded in a downwards zig-zag move until today. Now ARK came with an “innovative and disruptive” mantra and people rush into these types of stocks again.

 
3D System 20 year chart
 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

I am still interested in some growth stocks that would boost my portfolio in the long run. I have created a screener in Finviz.com to help select stocks that are more solid investments and growth potential rather than the speculative penny stocks in overhyped industries such as “electric vehicles”. The screener returns stocks that are considered by analysts, institutional investors, and insiders as a great investment and that these stocks are accumulated by these investors. The stocks also create revenue and growth and increase that growth.

Stocks from this screener we will be accumulating for the long run are currently Cutera, Inc. (CUTR) and The Blackstone Group Inc. (BX). More stocks like that may be added in the future. As long as these stocks appear in the screener results, I will be accumulating them. Once I reach 100 shares of each, I will start selling covered calls.

Here is a picture of the screener and all settings if you want to follow it and try it for yourself.

 
Finviz Screener
 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy in our fund. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. Last week, we started accumulating Aflac (AFL) stock to reach 100 shares. As of today, we own 21 shares

We want to accumulate 100 shares of each stock in our watchlist or list of stocks we want to own. This lot of shares is not, however, the end number. Once we are fully invested (own all stocks we want to own), then we will start adding on top of those 100 shares.

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks but also create a weekly dividend income from these stocks All it takes to create a weekly dividend income is to buy 12 stocks to spread the income for every week. I created this dividend calendar and track the stocks I want to buy to get this goal done fast.
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

Trading options

We will continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), it covers our call sides of each trade and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

Our fund in charts:

TW Account Net-Liq week 8
 

TW Account holdings week 8
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 4.43% with options, our holdings are up 9.19% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 31.75% since inception. Our stock holdings underperform the overall market. This week, our adjusted stock holdings beat the market. The market gained 1.90% YTD, our portfolio adjusted stock holdings grew by 2.21% (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

TW Options Income week 8
 

TW Options Annual Income week 8
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 8
 

We will continue trading options and accumulating dividend-growth stock next week and report our results on Saturday next week. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin February 20, 2021
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2021 Week 7 investing and trading report


Another week of February is gone and it is time to provide our investing and trading report again. This week was slow but as the market continued mostly lower, our portfolio held value and grew moderately. We adjusted a few of our positions removing some speculative stocks, adding a few growth stocks, and adjusted a few of the options trades. Overall, this week was a success again.
 

But now, let’s jump to our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $31,640.60 $503.9 +1.62%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $673.00
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%
02 February 2021 Options: $3,575.00 +11.30%
Options Premiums YTD: $7,784.00 +24.60%
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $20.47
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04
02 February 2021 Dividends: $60.92
Dividends YTD: $113.96
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 3.51%
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 5.91%
Portfolio Alpha: 18.86%
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.52
CAGR: 750.17%
AROC: 21.13%
TROC: 39.52%
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 74.72%

 

We received $673.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings and shares we want to own. Our options trading delivered a 11.30% monthly ROI, totaling a 24.60% ROI. Also, our net-liq increased amid the weak market. The entire week, our net-liq was suppressed by higher volatility and the broker’s higher margin requirements, however, it was slowly trending upwards.

Our account jumped up to 53.80% YTD growth. We are very happy with this result.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We make slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

We are still on track to attempt fixing our SPX trades that still block approximately $12,000 in our buying power. We set a buy-back order for deep OTM put spreads for 0.10 debit. Once these get closed, we will roll the deep ITM higher and sell new OTM put spreads to offset the cost. It will be a slow process but I believe, it will be worth releasing an additional $12,000 in cash. As I said last week, we will be rolling these trades only if it will be resulting in credit rolls or a wash. If rolling for a credit or a small debit (no more than $10 or $15) will not be possible, we will let those trades go.

Accumulating Speculative Stocks

There has been a change to my mind trading speculative stocks and I decided not to do that. I do not feel comfortable with it and it is not my money-making strategy. I still may use these stocks for options trading as I feel fit, however.
I decided to sell NIO, ISR, and XONE. I will plan for exposure in these stocks using ETFs instead. As of now, I kept some other stocks such as DDD, RESN, and NNDM but I may unload them in the future too.

Instead, I have created a screener in Finviz.com to help select stocks that are more solid investments and growth potential rather than the speculative penny stocks in overhyped industries such as “electric vehicles”. The screener returns stocks that are considered by analysts, institutional investors, and insiders as a great investment and that these stocks are accumulated by these investors. The stocks also create revenue and growth and increase that growth.

One example was Cutera, Inc. (CUTR) that was on the list for a while and since we purchased the stock last week, it is already showing 7.94% gain.

Here is a picture of the screener and all settings if you want to follow it and try it for yourself.

 
Finviz Screener
 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy in our fund. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. Last week we finished accumulating our position in Altria (MO) and now we hold 100 shares of this stock. We can now proceed to sell more covered calls or have the existing strangles partially covered. Now, we will start accumulating Aflac (AFL) stock to reach 100 shares.

We want to accumulate 100 shares of each stock in our watchlist or list of stocks we want to own. This lot of shares is not, however, the end number. Once we are fully invested (own all stocks we want to own), then we will start adding on top of those 100 shares.

Trading options

We will continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), it covers our call sides of each trade and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

Our fund in charts:

TW Account Net-Liq
 

TW Account holdings
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 6.79% with options, our holdings are up 12.11% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 35.05% since inception. Our stock holdings track the market. This week, our adjusted stock holdings didn’t beat the market either. The market gained 5.21% YTD, our portfolio adjusted stock holdings grew by 5.13% (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

TW Options Income week 7
 

TW Options Annual Income week 7
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 7
 

We will continue trading options and accumulating dividend-growth stock next week and report our results on Saturday next week. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin February 15, 2021
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Thoughts on investing, options, and yields


I read a few posts on social media about dividend investing and criticism from investors. I decided to write my thoughts about investing, options, and yields and how they can help you to significantly boost your path to financial freedom.

In the past, I was not trading stocks, I was trading options only, and I was trading options using SPX as underlying. I was making money but I was also losing them as fast as I made them (sometimes faster).

 
Investing, options, and yields learning
Photo by Julia M Cameron from Pexels
 

But I learned a lesson on how to do it and build a portfolio for a living (well, at least, I hope I had).

My Original Investing Strategy

My strategy is to be buying high-quality dividend stocks (dividend aristocrats) and accumulate enough that I will have enough income from dividends no matter what a stock is doing. A great example was JNJ in the 2008 crisis. The stock lost 50% of its value yet they continued paying their dividends and even increased them. And there were many other stocks in the same category. So, my theory is, if I accumulate enough stocks in this category to pay me for example $90,000 a year when the market is high as well as when it loses 50% of its value and I still receive my dividends, then I really do not care what is going on out there.

Trading Options Help

On top of that, since I have substantial knowledge of trading options, I decided to trade options against these stocks using a wheel strategy. In my opinion, the wheel strategy is pretty much a win-win strategy (of course if done correctly). So I started selling puts against these stocks (later on I started trading strangles) and have enough cash or shares for assignments. I have peace of mind now not worrying about the stock volatility. I roll the options as much as possible up or down as needed and if I cannot roll for a credit I let it assign. And I have enough cash (or shares) to let the assignment go without ruining my account. And I reinvest all proceeds to buy more shares. I keep reinvesting the dividends and premiums. It is not a quick-rich scheme (as many people believe or hope for) but still substantial growth compared to just passive investing (like what you would normally do in your 401k account).

Strategy Results

Thanks to this strategy, I feel relaxed, I was able to navigate through the market 40% crash in March 2020 without losing anything, and in fact, I was buying more shares when they were on sale, my account is up 50% for 2021, and my options premiums average $3,000 a month in 2021.

And What’s Next?

I plan on accumulating until I have enough to have a sustainable income from dividends and options. I will accumulate a 1-year salary saved in a money market account as reserves and then I will be ready to “retire” and trade for a living. And if something bad happens, I will have a 1-year salary saved to eventually sustain any losses and find a job, but I do not expect that. I feel quite confident that with this strategy I will be able to navigate through good and bad. The goal is not to overdo the trading and not to over-extend the trades beyond cash security or shares coverage because if you trade more than what your cash or shares allow you, you are forced to close the positions due to margin calls and for a loss. Many times, a substantial loss. I learned that the hard way.

Dividend Investing Misconceptions

There are misconceptions and misunderstandings about the dividends I have seen in the past from people. Many investors do not want to buy dividend stocks and prefer growth stocks because they consider a 3% yield and sacrificing the stock growth not enough to bother to invest in these stocks.

Another claim is that in order to achieve let’s say $90,000 annual dividend income, an investor would have to accumulate a $2.5 million account at current yields, and that is not realistic in today’s world since it would take a person over 30 or more years to do.

Both claims are only partially valid. None take into account dividend growth.

Yield On Cost (YOC)

If you take into account the dividend growth, the time and amount needed to accumulate shrinks significantly. For example, my current portfolio has a current dividend yield of 3.52% and dividend growth of 5.91%. With these numbers, the future yield on cost will be:
 

  • 8.75% yield in 10 years shrinking the capital requirements to $1,028,571 portfolio value
  • 31.26% yield in 20 years shrinking the capital requirements to $287,907 portfolio value

 

and so on (This is when you are reinvesting all dividends and not adding new money. If you start adding more of the new money, it will grow even faster). And, I speed up this process with options income. That was always my dream and goal in investing and trading – generate enough income that can be invested to buy more shares that would generate even more income. At some point in the future, I should accumulate enough income to start paying my bills on top of the accumulating of more stocks.

But yes, you have to give your portfolio time to work it out. If you are looking for a faster way to get rich, then this probably is not for you.




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Posted by Martin February 13, 2021
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2021 Week 6 results


The second week of February is over and it was a very successful week again. We collected $2,435 credits trading options this week and we kept purchasing stocks of our interest. We are currently averaging a $3,555.50 monthly income and if this trend continues we will make $42,666 this year trading options. Of course, I must make no mistakes and costly reckless errors.
 

But now, let’s jump to our trading results:

 

Account Value: $31,136.70 $668.05 +2.19%
Options Premiums Received: $2,435.00
January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%
February 2021 Options: $2,902.00 +9.32%
Options Premiums YTD: $7,111.00 +22.84%
Dividends Received: $3.66
January 2021 Dividends: $53.04
February 2021 Dividends: $40.45
Dividends YTD: $93.49
Portfolio Yield: 3.52%
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 5.91%
Portfolio Alpha: 17.34%
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.49
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 73.53%

 

Last week we received $2,435 in premiums trading options against our holdings and shares we want to own. Our options trading delivered a 9.32% monthly ROI, totaling a 22.84% ROI. Also, our net-liq increased amid the weak market. The entire week, our net-liq was suppressed by higher volatility and the broker’s higher margin requirements. But on Friday, the market jumped up and that helped our net-liq to jump up as well.

Last week, our account jumped up to 51.35% YTD growth. We are very happy with this result.
 

I have reviewed our portfolio and our trading/investing strategy and decided to make slight adjustments to it. Here are the goals and tasks for the next week or more:
 

Old SPX trades repair

Before 2019 we traded SPX Iron Condors heavily. We traded 0-DTE trades. We traded multiple trades a week. And we were making money in our fund. But, one day, when the volatility hit the markets (it all started with the trade tariffs) I was not suddenly able to manage the trades and it all crashed. The account went from 20 thousand dollars to $1,600 in a month. It was a fall with a big bang.

I rolled the bad trades away hoping that I would be able to somehow manage them and release the cash trapped in those trades. But in a volatile market, it was not possible. As soon as I managed to adjust the trade ready for a worthless expiration, the market violently turned around and all adjustments I have done went down the toilet. The problem was that these adjustments were costly. Very costly. At some point, I decided to stop repairing those trades and let them go.

But today, the markets seem to calm down a bit. I think it is a great opportunity to try again and repair these trades. I still have over $12,000 trapped in those bad SPX trades and it would be great to release the cash.

I tried to play with those trades and see what adjustments I can do and I could make adjustments for credits. If I could roll and adjust those trades for credits, I am going to try repairing these trades. If repairing the trades can’t be done for a credit, I will let them go.

Accumulating Speculative Stocks

In my previous post I wrote that I wanted to be buying certain speculative stocks such as NIO, SNOW, DDD, XONE, and many others. Over many years of investing I developed a sense to invest in high-quality stocks that can be evaluated and I can calculate their intrinsic value. I could only find blue chips and high-quality dividend-growth stocks. But, I cannot be closing my eyes to other opportunities out there. With my approach, I would never invest in stocks like Amazon (AMZN), Apple (AAPL), or Tesla (TSLA). And I missed those stocks. In the past, none of these stocks made money. Amazon started making money just recently, and Tesla is still not making any revenue. It may change (it probably will) but I will be sitting out or buying these stocks expensive. In 2014 I had an opportunity to buy Amazon for $350 a share. I thought it was too expensive and the company made no revenue, thus going bankrupt soon. Today, Amazon trades over $3,000 a share.

I do not want to make the same mistake again. I am open to picking some speculative growth stocks from the “innovative and disruptive” category of stocks. But, I will limit holdings in these stocks to 10% of my portfolio. As of today, I hold 12.51% in these stocks so, I will not be buying more until our portfolio goes higher and we can add more shares.

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy in our fund. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. Last week we increased our position in Altria (MO) to 75 shares and our goal is to reach 100 shares; that way, we will have our strangles partially covered, or we can be selling more covered calls. After accumulating MO, our next goal will be to accumulate Aflac (AFL) stock and also reach 100 shares.

We want to accumulate 100 shares of each stock in our watchlist or list of stocks we want to own. This lot of shares is not, however, the end number. Once we are fully invested (own all stocks we want to own), then we will start adding on top of those 100 shares. But that is a faraway future.

First, we want to buy the initial 12 stocks to achieve a weekly dividend income.
 

Here is an example of our current dividend calendar and stocks we picked to accumulate:

 
Weekly Dividend Income
 

Of course, there is more to the chart and stock selection. In order to buy these stocks, they must be “undervalued”. I use Fastgraphs to help me with stock valuations. Prior to accumulating a stock, I want to check the valuation first. For example, right now, I keep accumulating Altria (MO), and my next target is Aflac (AFL). But before I start buying Aflac, I will check the Fastgraphs to make sure Aflac is still undervalued. If it is not, I will proceed to accumulate another stock that is still undervalued.

Trading options

We will continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), it covers our call sides of each trade, and it generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

Our fund in charts:

TW Account Net-Liq
 

TW Account holdings
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 6.88% with options, our holdings are up 11.81% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 36.02% since inception. Our stock holdings do not beat the market. This week, we were not able to beat the market trading options either. The market gained 6.18% YTD, our portfolio stock holdings grew by 4.83% (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

TW Options Income week 6
 

TW Options Annual Income week 6
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 6
 

We will continue trading options and accumulating dividend-growth stock next week and report our results on Saturday next week. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin February 10, 2021
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How to buy great companies that are expensive: Valuation still matter


Many investors these days forgot valuations and started chasing companies that have no revenue, no income, and that are burning cash every quarter. Yet they are hot and their prices are skyrocketing.

There are plenty of companies that are great and valuable but they trade at a premium to their intrinsic value. For many years I argued that if you look for valuations and buy only undervalued companies then there will be certain stocks that you would never be able to buy or you would have to wait for 10 or more years for a major market crash that would make these companies valued properly.

One example can be Coca Cola (KO). A great business. I love the stock and I want it in my portfolio. But that company is terribly overvalued. Since the 2008 crash, it always traded at a premium to its value:
 

Coca Cola
 

Another example in this category of great but overvalued companies is Apple (AAPL). For many years, AAPL traded near its intrinsic value, tracking it closely. Until September 2019. That month, the stock skyrocketed and continued rallying since then. Even a 40% crash of the market in March 2020 didn’t correct the stock valuation.
 

Apple
 

And it may take years for this stock to drop. And it may never drop. It may start trading sideways for many years until the valuation catches up with the price of the stock. And you (and I) will be sitting on the sidelines for years.

If you are like me, you want these companies. I want them. I want to own AAPL and AMZN, or SNOW. But how do you buy them so you don’t burn your cash that may be lost in the future if the market finally corrects?

The secret is in the cost basis. If I can lower the cost basis of the stock, it is like buying it cheaper.

There are a few investors I have seen who do not believe in cost basis and its lowering. They say it is an artificial maneuver and in reality, you do not lower your cost basis at all. But that is a way of the view you are looking at income and cost basis of a stock.

Some people view dividends and other income generated by the stock or your trading as an income that is added on top of your capital gains. Others use the income and subtract it from a purchase price, refer to a book “Generate Thousands in Cash on your Stocks Before Buying or Selling Them” by Samir Elias. I am in that category. I believe, that if you can manage that the stock returns all your invested dollars back to you (as Warren Buffett also looks for in his investments), you end up owning the stock for free.

What income can help you to lower the cost basis?

  1. dividends
  2. options premiums

And so, I started to track my desired cost basis and adjusted my prices to take into account options premiums to lower my cost basis.
 

Stock cost basis
 

Now I can see my income adjusted cost basis of a stock and compare it to my intrinsic value of a stock. My goal is now to keep reducing the cost basis until I reach the minimum (or go significantly below it). For example, AAPL is trading for $135.39 a share. My unadjusted cost basis is $130.95 per share but my income adjusted cost basis is $122.49 a share. However, I need to lower it to $60.14 a share.

For that reason, I will keep selling options and collect premiums to further lower my cost basis. Then, when my cost basis will be below the intrinsic value of a stock, I can be buying expensive stocks and not worry about valuations.




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Posted by Martin February 06, 2021
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2021 Week 5 results


The first week of February was slow in trading. I didn’t have much time to trade and thus it was mostly maintaining the existing trades. However, some of our holdings (those speculative ones) jumped up significantly and boosted our net liquidating value beyond my expectations. I think I sorted out better, what I want to do next with our fund.

I still will be accumulating dividend aristocrats according to our plan but I will be also adding some of the innovative and disruptive stocks from industries such as renewable energy, biochemical industry, electric vehicles, 5G research and innovations, 3D printing, and cannabis. But I will also do some speculative trading on a small scale using momentum trading.

I created a Finviz screener that searches for stocks with unusual volume activity (plus some other technical indicators) that helps me to find stocks that may spike up significantly on a new buying interest. I will buy such stock (and if a stock is optionable and offers good premiums and strikes to trade, I will also sell puts against the stock) and ride the momentum. I will also use stop loss to protect the trade from losses.

Currently, the screener selected the following tickers: NESR and CSWC. We purchased a few shares of NESR and we bought a call option on CSWC that we could offset by selling a naked put against it. Both trades are profitable so far.

For the next week our screener chose the following symbols that we may (or may not) trade next week: CUTR, NOG, PRCH, NBLX, FLNT, and REKR. Some stocks are on our watch list already, such as CUTR, others we need to wait for a breakout to invest. Lets see what the next week brings.

Last week, we continued accumulating our dividend aristocrats Altria (MO) and saving cash in the ICSH fund to have our savings up to date in case of a serious market correction. We increased our MO holdings to 45 shares and our goal is to reach 100 shares. After we reach the goal, our next accumulation goal will be Aflac (AFL).

In our “innovative and disruptive” category, we will be accumulating RESN, this company develops 5G network components and radio/cell phone filters and some other stuff; I expect this company to be a significant player once the US wireless carriers kick in their 5G networks in 2022; DDD, and XONE, both companies are involved in 3D printing and they have a good potential of large returns in the next 3 years; PACB in biochemical industry, developing genetic sequencing systems; and ISR a company researching cancer treatments, technologies and medical equipment.
 

We are also interested in the following stocks:
 

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. (SPCE)
Social Capital Hedosophia Holdings Corp. V (IPOE)
Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ)
Plug Power Inc. (PLUG)
First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund (QCLN)
iShares Self-Driving EV and Tech ETF (IDRV)
The AES Corporation (AES)
Omnicom Group Inc. (OMC)
 

It will take us some time before we will be able to accumulate these stocks as our cash is limited. That is also one reason for aggressive options trading to generate enough cash that can be used to buy these stocks of our interest.

We post our trades and more details in our MeWe group. I strongly recommend you to join the group if you are interested in following our trades more in detail. We also post trades on a MeWe page as I do not like Facebook anymore and I participate on Facebook very sporadically.

 

But now, let’s jump to our trading results:

 

Account Value: $30,468.65 $5,190.52 +20.53%
Options Premiums Received: $467.00
January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%
February 2021 Options: $467.00 +1.53%
Options Premiums YTD: $4,676.00 +15.35%
Dividends Received: $36.79
January 2021 Dividends: $53.04
February 2021 Dividends: $36.79
Dividends YTD: $89.83
Portfolio Yield: 3.57%
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 5.91%
Portfolio Alpha: 8.88%
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.60
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 71.95%

 

Last week we received $467.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings and shares we want to own. Our options trading delivered a 1.53% monthly ROI, totaling a 15.35% ROI. Also, our net-liq increased significantly as the volatility dropped after the GME frenzy saga faded away and the stock market recovered all last week’s losses.

With this recovery, our account jumped up to 48.10% YTD growth. We are very happy with this result.

Last week we had to sell some shares in ICSH, VGSH, GBIL, and MO to release some buying power (BP) as we were getting hit by margin calls. This week, we bought all these shares back and added more. I see this as a good achievement as well.
 

TW Account Net-Liq
 

TW Account holdings
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 7.32% with options, our holdings are up 12.06% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 34.36% since inception. Our stock holdings do not beat the market. We beat the market because of trading options and generating additional income. The market gained 4.52% YTD, our portfolio stock holdings grew by 5.08% (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

TW Options Income week 5
 

TW Options Annual Income week 5
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 5
 

We are still in an accumulation mode accumulating Altria (MO). Our next target will be accumulating Aflac (AFL), and Abbvie (ABBV). After that I will proceed to other stocks as per the chart I posted in my previous article.
 

We also want to expose our portfolio to some growth stocks in the new technologies and industries such as electric vehicles, nanotechnologies, fintech industry, cannabis, and renewable and clean energy. I will be purchasing individual stocks as well as ETFs investing in these industries. That’s why you may see me buying stocks like NIO, NNDM, SNOW, CUTR, CSIQ, ISR, DDD, XONE, IPOE, PACB, SPCE, RESN, or ETFs such as MSOS, RNRG, or IDRV.




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