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Archive for November, 2022

Posted by Martin November 12, 2022

11.11.22 – FRIDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  Many investors on social media expected the market to sell off today as investors would take profits before the weekend. But I didn’t expect that. Many investors were very bearish, and the 6% rally on Thursday was too strong for them to stay in their short positions. They got squeezed and had to get Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 11, 2022

11.10.22 – THURSDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  Almost a 6% gain today is impressive! All because a CPI report was a bit better than expected, investors are now melting up. Everything they sold yesterday was bought back today. And since VIX is in contango (quite sharp), I expect this to continue tomorrow, and we will see another up day. We are Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 10, 2022

11.09.22 – WEDNESDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  The markets continued showing weakness – first because of election expectations and now selling ahead of the CPI report coming tomorrow at 7:30 CT. And that can shake out the market significantly depending on the report. Given that the VIX is still in contango and pretty much unchanged from yesterday, it may mean that Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 09, 2022

11.08.22 – TUESDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  The markets are recovering from Powell’s last week crash, but the trend is weakening daily. The VIX is still in contango but flattening. Will the election results be able to save the trend? So far, the weakness is dominant, and I expect the markets to flip lower.     If you want to learn Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 04, 2022

11.03.22 – THURSDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  Selling continued today as market participants continued freaking out about FED and now increased the chance of entering a recession. There is nothing we can do about it but patiently wait for this to pass. It will pass someday. The only concern I have is that the FED kept aggressively raising interest rates, but Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 03, 2022

11.02.22 – WEDNESDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  The FED’s chair Powell announced another rate hike by 0.75 points but then commented that it is too early to talk about a rate pause or slow down. I think it is too late, as the economy is already tipping over into a free fall that the FED will not be able to stop. Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 02, 2022

11.01.22 – TUESDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  The weakness in the market continued in expectation of the FED’s policy. The Vix futures are in contango, indicating bullish expectations. If the FED provides its policy of slowing down its QT after the hike this week, the market may rally an additional 10% from now and reach the 4,239 level if this plays Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 01, 2022

Technical view: Airbnb (ABNB)

Airbnb reported earnings, and the stock crashed by more than 7% after-hours. In this technical view, we take a look at what happened: &nbsp: Airbnb reported Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.79 actual versus $1.53 expected = BEAT   Revenue: $2.88 actual billion versus $2.83 billion expected = BEAT   Nights and Experiences Booked: 99.7 Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 01, 2022

10.31.22 – MONDAY MARKET OUTLOOK

  Today, we saw a retreat from the strong rally on Friday. It could be the beginning of a new selling or just gains consolidation. Given that the VIX futures structure is still in contango, I would vote for a pause in the uptrend. We are still going to the 200-day MA in the near Continue reading →