Atheros Communications, Inc. (ATHR) failed my fundamental check list and has been dropped from the watch list.
I added DeVry (DV) to the watch list as a potential buy when this selling pressure fades. And I believe it will fade and the stock will create a new buy opportunity. All the selling is based on news and expectations, which seems to me do not hold water. As long as the US unemployment rate will be as high as it is today, this stock will prosper. Even though politicians and economists working for the government are telling us that employment is improving, I do not expect better data any sooner than next year. Until that DeVry may create several good chances to ride the trend, although the stock is very volatile. The only strong negative issue I can see is that the price crossed 50 DMA on heavy volume which is considered as a strong sell signal. Since fundamentally this stock is very strong, it is now all a technical game only. Here is my fundamental check list:
2010
2009
2008
Revenue
$473,012(t)
$369,615(t)
$273,737(t)
Pass
2009
2008
2007
EPS
1.00
0.59
0.50
Pass
2009
2008
2007
ROE
18%
17%
12%
Pass
Analyst recommendation:
Buy
Pass
03/10
12/09
09/09
06/09
EPS Surprise
+6.87%
+20.48%
+16.39%
+10.45%
Pass
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
EPS Forecast
6.3
5.48
5.39
4.51
3.67
Pass
EPS Growth Rate (next 5 years)
20.0%
Pass
PEG
0.794
Pass
EPS / Industry (TTM)
54.8%
28.09%
Pass
Short Interest
7.07 days
Fail
Insider Form 4
-482,711
Fail
Weighted Alpha
+55.10
Pass
Stock within 15% of 52 week high
$69.46
Pass
RS > 70
61
Fail
Even though DV passed this check as a strong buy candidate, it doesn’t mean it will be a winning stock. It has all the prospect to grow and I will keep an eye on it.
Medifast (MED) is still a strong candidate to buy, it passed all my screening, but now I am still waiting for entry point. My entry strategy is to look at two time-frames: a weekly chart and a daily chart. A weekly chart must signal a buy point by an oscillator reversing into uptrend in oversold range, which currently MED’s oscillator is in overbought range ready to diverge into a downtrend and price creating new highs of the right leg of the cup on a very low volume. If the price and volume will continue doing what I am expecting right now we may see a price drop creating the buy opportunity. See the weekly chart:
Click to enlarge
If the weekly chart creates a buy setup, than I take a look at daily chart looking for the same behavior on a daily chart. As soon as the oscillator crosses up (and this time it doesn’t have to be in oversold range, however it is preferred to see it there), it will be my buy point.
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