Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for December 29th, 2025. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:
SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. Trading after Christmas is muted, dribbling around zero, slightly down on an extremely low volume. But the market is bullish. I still expect it to continue up until the end of the year and we may see an uptrend in the first week in January 2026 too.
TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged SPX fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. The chart is now bullish but weak. The trend will depend on SPX move. I still expect it to move up slowly. I am now in TQQQ position (owning shares as well as LEAPS) and started also selling covered calls. So far the trades are showing nice profit but I am ready to get out should the trend change.
BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Right now the trend is clearly down but it is creating a base pattern (range bound stage 1). We still need to wait to see which direction BTC wants to go. If we break up from the base, we can see a new rally up. Of course, we may see the opposite too. Bears still have an upper hand here. I still recommend to stay away. I am in cash.
Happy trading/investing!
Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.
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