Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for December 24th, 2025. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:
SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. The market continues its bullish move up and I expect it to continue until the end of the year. It will most likely be on light volume due to holidays, but this is the time when the market may be creeping up on no news, no volume, no catalyst.
TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged SPX fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. The chart is now bullish but it may still change if the markets turn around. I expect slowly moving up due to holidays non-events. I am now in TQQQ position (owning shares as well as LEAPS) and started also selling covered calls.
BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Right now the trend is clearly down but it is creating a base pattern (stage 1) which could be a good take off point for an upcoming rally. However, is is weak and seems to be failing. Right now the chart clearly shows that we may see more selling. I still recommend to stay away. I am in cash.
Tomorrow is Christmas Eve and the markets will close at noon ET and they will stay closed in December 25th.
Happy trading/investing!
Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.
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