Market Outlook for 12/22/2025

Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for December 22nd, 2025. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:

 

SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. Recently, the market recovered significantly and is now in a bullish mood. Of course it still can all change on a dime, but as of now I can safely trade (sell) put spreads.

 

 

TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged SPX fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. Right now, the chart is still bearish and says to stay out and wait. But if the bullish tone continues on Monday, it may be safe to start small bullish positions.

 

 

BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Right now the trend is clearly down but it is creating a base pattern (stage 1) which could be a good take off point for an upcoming rally. The question is, will it materialize? If yes it would be a great entry point, if not more downside will continue. As of now I still recommend to stay away. I am in cash.

 

 

Happy trading/investing!

 

Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.

 





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