Market Outlook 12/19/2025

Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for December 19th, 2025. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:

 

SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. Currently the trend is down and favors call spreads. Though I am opening put spreads too but extremely conservative positions (less than 0.10 short put delta, as close to 0.05 as possible). If you are not sure, the best move will be to stay away.

 

 

TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged SPX fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. Right now, the chart says to stay out and wait.

 

BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Right now the trend is clearly down. Stay away. I am in cash.

Happy trading/investing!

 

Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.

 





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