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Posted by Martin February 12, 2013
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Be a banker to yourself

Be a banker to yourself

I bet you have heard about terms “bank on yourself” or “Infinite banking”. If not, let me briefly introduce you to this strategy. If you already know what this means, you can skip the following paragraph.

What infinite banking is in a nut shell? The main goal is that you open a whole life insurance policy with an insurance company, ideally a dividend paying whole life insurance policy. You must choose a policy which would allow you to take loans from the policy when needed. Then for the first 5 years you pay the premium to your policy and actually you overpay it. Then a part of your contribution goes towards your life policy (mandatory) and the remaining contribution goes towards the investing part of the policy. The first 5 years is the capitalization phase, after which the policy should be self-sustaining. This means that you no longer are require to pay your mandatory premiums because the investing part pays you dividends, usually around 5%, which are used to pay your premiums. Or you can continue paying premiums and additional over-paid-premiums. Then anytime you need money to finance your new car, house or even retirement (an official claim from infinite banking promoters) you can take a loan from your life policy and then pay it back. You pay interest usually around 5% on that loan. The good part is that you are paying the interest to yourself.

I came across this strategy once several years ago and I liked the principle to use your own money and then pay it back with an interest. That would be a neat way how to avoid credit cards debt. I even started practicing this method for a while, but later I stopped. The reason was that I was under capitalized and thus it didn’t work well.

Recently I came across this method again in regards to a fellow blogger FI Fighter, who was buying his second investment property. He needed some cash for his down payment and he was literally forced to liquidate a part of his portfolio. See his story here. After that he followed with three waves of sell off of his portfolio. My financial heart was bleeding, my financial mind was screaming.

This was the impulse to me to find a solution so I won’t have to go over a sell off of my own portfolio if a need for cash arises.

My savings plan

I do save money besides my investment portfolio. I save for several goals. For each goal I have a dedicated savings account, because I do not like mixing several goals and amounts together. This causes me to lose track of what the purpose of my savings is and how much I have saved for each goal.

I save for larger yearly payments, such as $300 property tax and save $25 every month in a dedicated savings account. My next purpose is an ASHRAE membership dues at $190 yearly, so I save $16 monthly in another dedicated savings account and so on. You get the point.

But what if a major investment comes along, such as FI Fighter had? What if I want to buy a new car? And that is a very valid concern, since my old F150 truck is very close to dying. Do I want to save cash in a savings account which bears 0.90% interest only? Or am I willing to take a risk and act like an “Infinite banker” to myself?

Why I do not like the infinite banking strategy?

The main reason why I do not like the Infinite Banking strategy is the life insurance behind it. I do not think that it is a great idea overpaying an insurance policy and make a commitment of paying $250, $500, or even thousands of dollars monthly for at least five years to capitalize an insurance policy, and knowing that 50% is what the insurance company swallows forever, or until you die.

The next item I do not like is the interest rate. I am a believer in leverage. I leverage my investments, because in long term I can make more money now, during my capitalization phase. The infinite banking was created in 1980s when interest rates on loans soared from 8% p.a. to 21% p.a. With such interest, it makes sense borrowing money from yourself and pay 5% or 6% only and to yourself. But today the situation is very different. Today I can get a car loan at 1.5% APY, mortgage at 3.5% APY, a personal loan at 7% APY. Why would I be then tapping into my savings and investments which are making me almost 14% annually? Since I believe in leveraging as I mentioned above, I actually borrow money at 7% and invest them at 14% (with Lending Club for example). Then I use proceedings to pay the loan off and keep the difference in interest rate.

Why I like the infinite banking strategy

I still like the concept of not borrowing money from credit card companies for example and use your own money instead. This makes sense since the credit card companies charge 16% at best, but 25% at worst. Borrowing from yourself at 6% and paying the interest to yourself is a lot better solution.

To bypass the life insurance and get similar results I decided to launch an experiment. I opened a brokerage account with Scottrade which will serve as the “life insurance” dividend paying account. This would help avoiding keeping money in a low interest savings accounts (which I still will maintain for short term – yearly savings as described above). I am willing to take the risk of capital value fluctuation. I will invest into dividend paying stocks and ETFs. I will undergo the 5 year capitalization phase to save enough to be able to take a loan if needed. In case of taking a loan I will need patience (which originally many years ago I was lacking) to keep paying this loan off with an interest to myself.




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Posted by Martin February 10, 2013
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My inspiration in last week #9

My inspiration in last week #9

I often browse the internet to find ideas about investing, trading stocks, options, investing opportunities and strategies. I like to read about investors and what their investing/trading approach to create income you can live on is.

 

This week I found the following interesting posts:

Warren Buffett’s Techniques on How to be a Self-Made BillionaireThe Buffett Effect

Warren BuffettWikipedia

How Much Is Abbott Labs WorthSeeking Alpha

Don’t Get Too Worked Up Over TASER International’s Latest NumbersThe Motley Fool




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Posted by Martin February 10, 2013
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Website update

Website update

I updated my website. It still is not finished and not everything works yet. But I will continue working on it.

I like simple look of the website, hope you enjoy it as well.




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Posted by Martin February 06, 2013
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New trade – Armour Residential (ARR) put selling


Today I decided to sell a put against ARR. I sold July 20 7.5 strike put. If the stock rises above 7.5 it will expire worthless and I keep the premium ($84) and repeat the process. If the stock stays below $7.5 at expiration (or the owner of the put decides to execute it) I will buy 100 shares of ARR @ 6.7 a share.

02/06/2013 13:11:19 Sold 1 ARR Jul 20 2013 7.5 Put @ 0.84

Current time value: 0.50 per contract
Intrinsic value: 0.34 per contract




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Posted by Martin February 05, 2013
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A correction? Looks like not.


Yesterday I wrote about a possibility of market turning into correction or pullback. I was aware however about new money flowing into the market, although in slowing pace than a month ago (see the yesterday’s chart and Chaikin Money Flow; any value above 0.10 is considered as heavy buying, although it is slowing down). Today, it was proven that investors were jumping in buying the dip. The market stopped for a moment to take a rest. As I mentioned yesterday, the sell off could only be a bump on the upward road. The market can only rest a bit in a consolidation pattern before it shoots higher. The earnings season was very strong and it is what keeps investors buying stocks. In my opinion, I would be cautious, because it is now difficult to see what the market wants to do. So I am sitting aside and saving money for upcoming opportunities. I will be buying stocks at these levels only if they present themselves as a great buy – lower than fair value, great story, pullback, etc.




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Posted by Martin February 04, 2013
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A correction? Finally!

A correction? Finally!

Today, we probably have experienced a long anticipated correction to this extended market. It was a very impressive run, but in my opinion the stocks got expensive. Almost all indicators were in heavy overbought territory and a break was imminent. The question was, when. Was Monday the beginning of a correction? If so, I would say, finally!

I believe, and many stock charts confirm it, that no stock, no market goes straight up. It goes up in a seesaw trend, two steps up, one step down and so on. And if it happens going straight up as we witnessed a few weeks ago, then soon we would witness that one step down.

So can Monday be considered the beginning of a correction? It depends. From the pure technical analysis perspective the picture is not as clear as I would wish. The down candle stick wasn’t extended marking an exhaustion. So today’s trading may be just a little bump on the upward road.

If we however are in a correction, the next question would be, how deep and how long will it take? A million dollar question. As a trader I would care. As a dividend investor who wants to build an ever flowing income stream I do not care that much. I just take this as a new opportunity to add more shares into my portfolio for cheaper price.

Now the time has arrived to start watching my holdings and the stocks in my watch list even closely, because they may present great prices to pick up. For example, my latest trade was buying shares of Lorillard which I bought for 39.64 a share. With the correction when most of the stocks follow the entire market, I can add shares for even 38.20 a share (current support). Or even for less, if the stock breaks the support.

SPY

The chart above indicates my anticipation if I am correct in regards to selling in the market. Three indicators I use were in overbought levels and two of them already slowing down. Chaikin Money Flow, indicating whether money flow into the market or out of the market already turned down in January showing investors pulling their cash out of the market. The Ultimate Oscillator also started falling at the end of January. MACD followed today. You can see a slowdown and turning down.

Another indicator I like to watch is Fear and Greed index. Today’s chart shows the market dropping from extreme greed. We may potentially go all the way down to 40-ish level. How quickly and how fast, I do not know. It can be a slow volatile, bumpy process as we could see at the end of 2010 and beginning of 2011 or fast and almost straight drop as we could see at the end of 2012.

Fear & Greed Over Time

Such a drop however doesn’t mean a catastrophe. I actually see it as a healthy movement. A movement, which provides us with great prices while others are panicking. Also a drop to 40s doesn’t mean that the market will go that deep too. Fear & Greed index is more about volatility, rather than trends.

But how deep will we be going?

My first expectation would be where the support is. When you take a look at the SPY chart above, the market easily broke above a resistance level created by two major tops, one in September 2012, second in October 2012. We approached that resistance in December 2012 and corrected. Later, in January we broke thru without any resistance. But then the market slowed down. The new money flowing into the market dried up. The previous resistance became a support (see the green thick line at $146.85 level). My expectation, though, would be a pullback to that support. The next level would be at 144.73 (50 day MA) and worse case scenario at 140 level, but unless something terrible happens I do not expect going that far down.

Well, time will show. Get your muscles ready (read money), because we may see a great opportunity adding more shares. If you do not have your cash ready, you would have to wait and pass this opportunity.

Happy Trading!




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Posted by Martin February 03, 2013
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My inspiration in last week #8


I often browse the internet to find ideas about investing, trading stocks, options, investing opportunities and strategies. I like to read about investors and what their investing/trading approach to create income you can live on is.

This week I found the following interesting posts:


When To Buy And Sell Dividend Growth Stocks
Seeking Alpha

Net WorthAll About Interest

Credit Card Rewards – An Investment in Your Future?Brick By Brick Investing

This week I was extremely busy at work and had a very little time reading. The same will be in the next week.




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Posted by Martin February 02, 2013
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Website upgrade


OK, after about 5 years of having this blog I finally decided to upgrade and dress it up into a new coat. When ready, I will upgrade and some features of this blog may not be working anymore or for some time. I will be updating the new version once uploaded on the fly.




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Posted by Martin January 30, 2013
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New trade – Lorillard, Inc. (LO)


Today I added Lorillard, Inc.(LO) shares into my portfolio. It pays nice dividend with 23% dividend growth, 4 year dividend increase history and 21% annual expected return growth. My calculated fair value is at 41.33 a share and Morningstar lists their fair value at 41 a share. Their analysis expect better and more aggressive growth due to menthol and flavored cigarettes market where Lorillard dominates. The only risk this company is facing is EPA menthol market regulation, which is however highly unlikely due to mainly large tax impact (10 billion in taxes) to federal budget. I liked what I could read about this company, which currently undergo a 3:1 split (which may create another capital gain potential in the long run). From the technical analysis the stock is trading bellow 200 day MA but at 50 day MA support with narrow Bollinger Bands (the price break is imminent; the only question is which direction; and I believe it will be upside).

01/30/2013 10:40:00 Bought 25 LO @ 39.64

Total shares held as of today: 25
Estimated annual dividend: $51.75
Consecutive Dividend Increase: 4 years
Dividend yield today: 5.21%
Dividend 5yr Growth: 23.33%
Dividend paid since: 2008




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Posted by Martin January 30, 2013
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List of great high yielding dividend stocks


I was finally able to update my watch list of dividend stocks I consider worth to watch closely and potentially add to my portfolio. I had the watch list created in my Google Spreadsheet, but today I finally changed my watch list page to reflect the table. It currently shows my most recent list of great dividend payers.

The list is not a buy list however. It is a list of stocks I found on the internet or thru the screening process or even recommendations. For example my recent (as of this writing, 01/30/2013) addition to the watch list is a Morningstar web site recommendation. They published a featured stock – Corning (GLW) as a great company with maturing business and better than expected earnings. So I quickly checked the stock if it pays dividends and if so, what is the yield, dividend history, expected growth, etc.

I found that Corning pays 0.09 dividend per share which equals to 2.63% yield, the projected yield is 3.00%. The company has a 2 year history of consecutive dividend increase (which is nothing extra and not within my criteria, but interesting metric anyway). The dividend growth is at 30%, which may not be sustainable, but even if it will be slowing down over time, I am fine with it as long as the growth stays positive and above 6% in every consecutive year.

The valuation of the company is also interesting. The Morningstar lists the fair value to be $15.00 a share (the stock is currently trading at $12.00 a share). My own calculation indicates the fair value to be $18.88 a share and calculated expected annual growth at 26%. These metrics are quite impressive to me so I decided to put this stock to my watch list into a group of hot candidates for closer review before purchasing.

Similar hot candidates from my watch list currently are:

ABT
AGNC
EGAS
GD
KO
LMT
LO
NKE
NLY
NOC
PBI
RTN
TGT
TOT
UVV

Again, even though these are just “hot candidates”, they still are not a buy list, just a shortened list of stocks I want to analyze closely to decide whether to buy or not.

Check my watch list page to see the entire list of my dividend paying stocks.




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