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Posted by Martin March 05, 2019
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Are we stuck below resistance and heading lower?


The market seems to have a lack of strength (not enough buyers) at 2800 level to break and move higher. Fortunately, bears do not have enough power to push the market lower either. You can see that, so far, every selloff has been bought up; but this strength seems to be weakening every day.

Unfortunately, this is to the advantage for bears and if we do not break 2800 level (and ultimately 2814 level too) soon, this market will drop.

The odds of going lower are larger every minute. As of now I favor a drop back to 2750 level (200 DMA) to find buyers down there. Tomorrow seems to be crucial to determine the market’s direction. If declining keeps accelerating, more and more bulls will start panicking and running to exit to avoid an imaginary rout they have experienced in December. And they will self-fulfill their own “prophecy”. We need a breakout soon, ideally this week. If it won’t happen, expect going down.
 

S&P 500
 




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Posted by Martin March 05, 2019
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HD increased dividend by 32.04%


HD, Home Depot increased the dividend by 32.04% making this dividend contender’s 10th consecutive year dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 4.12 annual dividend payout (1.03 quarterly), the new rate is 5.44 (1.36 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $210.25 a share so at the current price of $183.81 the stock is undervalued. In order for this stock to be marked a “buy” our three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions that the stock must meet are:

1) in a correction mode – pass
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – pass
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since all of the conditions are met, we mark it a “BUY”.

The current yield is 2.96%.

The 10 year YOC would be 17.59% with no dividend reinvestment and 33.34% with DRIP. This is a great dividend growth and it would reach 10% YOC in 10 years even without reinvesting the dividends. This makes this stock a great payer and dividend grower for matured portfolios already allowing an owner to redirect dividend stream to different stocks and still get a great dividend growth and YOC. The average 5 year dividend growth of this stock is of 21.90%.

The company share price outperforms the S&P 500 index in long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for the last 24 years, the stock average total return would be 15.09% vs 8.74% of the index, and your holding would grow to a staggering $275,944.40 dollars as opposed to $74,181.33 dollars of the index.

This makes this stock a great source of income in the long run, but also provides a good source of growth for your portfolio. I consider this stock a good addition for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I am long HD shares. It is in our watch list and since it is now ranked as “buy” we may initiate a position in this stock in the near future (given, it still stays ranked as BUY at the time of purchase).




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Posted by Martin March 04, 2019
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DPZ increased dividend by 18.18%


DPZ, Domino’s increased the dividend by 18.18% making this dividend challenger’s 7th consecutive year dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 2.20 annual dividend payout (0.55 quarterly), the new rate is 2.60 (0.65 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $255.16 a share so at the current price of $248.57 the stock is undervalued. In order for this stock to be marked a “buy” our three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions that the stock must meet are:

1) in a correction mode – pass
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – pass
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since all of the conditions are met, we mark it a “BUY”.

The current yield is 1.05%.

The 10 year YOC would be 6.52% with no dividend reinvestment and 8.29% with DRIP. This is a great dividend growth but won’t be able to reach 10% YOC in 10 years, at least not at current yield. However, the average 5 year dividend growth rate of 22.50% makes this stock a great holding in a dividend growth portfolio.

The company share price outperforms the S&P 500 index in long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for the last 14 years, the stock average total return would be 28.05% vs 8.74% of the index, and your holding would grow to a staggering $374,142.76 dollars as opposed to $32,949.48 dollars of the index. And since DPZ is also involved in technology, rather than just making great pizza, there is a great potential for more growth in the long run (just ignore what others say and all the gloom-doom scary cats say, they just see the stock until the next quarter and due to their short sight they miss the bigger picture). Therefore, the recent selling is a good opportunity.

This make this stock a great source of income in the long run, but also provides a good source of growth for your portfolio. I consider this stock a good addition for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I do not own DPZ stock at this moment. It is in our watch list and since it is now ranked as “buy” we may initiate a position in this stock in the near future (given, it still stays ranked as BUY at the time of purchase).




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Posted by Martin February 26, 2019
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PPL increased dividend by 0.61%


PPL increased the dividend by 0.61% making this dividend contender‘s 18th consecutive dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 1.64 annual dividend payout (0.41 quarterly), the new rate is 1.65 (0.4125 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $36.27 a share so at the current price of $31.93 the stock is undervalued.However, in order for this stock to be marked a “buy” our three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions that the stock must meet are:

1) in a correction mode – fail
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – pass
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since only two of the conditions are met, we mark it a “hold”.

The current yield is 5.17%.

The 10 year YOC would be 6.23% with no dividend reinvestment and 10.20% with DRIP. This small dividend growth makes this stock more of a lagging stock however, as a utility stock, it appears to be a stable stock and dividend payer. In my opinion it is an acceptable holding in a dividend growth portfolio.

The company share price outperforms the S&P 500 index long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for 23 years, the stock average total return would be 10.83% vs 8.74% of the index.

This make this stock an acceptable source of income but also provides a good source of growth making this a good stock for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I am long PPL and own shares of this company. It is in our watch list and when it appears as “buy” we may buy more shares of this stock.




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Posted by Martin February 14, 2019
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VLO increased dividend by 12.50%


VLO increased the dividend by 5.88% making this dividend champion‘s 9th consecutive dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 3.20 annual dividend payout (0.8 quarterly), the new rate is 3.60 (0.9 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $81.97 a share so at the current price of $82.33 the stock is overvalued and in order for this stock to be marked a “buy” the three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions that the stock must meet are:

1) in a correction mode – pass
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – fail
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since only two of the conditions are met, we mark it a “hold”.

The current yield is 4.37%.

The 10 year YOC would be 71.89% with no dividend reinvestment and 360.44% with DRIP. This rapid growth is something which worries me a bit as I think it is too steep so be prepared to possibly see a decline in this growth. On the other side, I do not think this makes the dividend safety endangered.

The company share price outperforms the S&P 500 index long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for 23 years, the stock average total return would be 16.37% vs 8.74% of the index.

This make this stock a great source of income but also provide a great source of growth making this a good stock for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I am long VLO and own shares of this company. It is in our watch list and when it appears as “buy” we may buy more shares of this stock.




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Posted by Martin February 14, 2019
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MMM increased dividend by 5.88%


MMM increased the dividend by 5.88% making this dividend champion‘s 61st consecutive dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 5.44 annual dividend payout (1.36 quarterly), the new rate is 5.76 (1.44 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $191.49 a share so at the current price of 206.57 the stock is overvalued and in order for this stock to be marked a “buy” the three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions that the stock must meet are:

1) in a correction mode – pass
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – fail
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since only two of the conditions are met, we mark it a “hold”.

The current yield is 2.79%.

The 10 year YOC would be 9.66% with no dividend reinvestment and 15.18% with DRIP. The company share price outperforms the S&P 500 index long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for 23 years, the stock average total return would be 11.64% vs 8.74% of the index.

This make this stock a great source of income but also provide a great source of growth making this a good stock for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I am long MMM and own shares of this company. It is in our watch list and when it appears as “buy” we may buy more shares of this stock.




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Posted by Martin February 13, 2019
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KMB increased dividend by 3.00%


KMB increased the dividend by 3.00% making this dividend champion‘s 47th consecutive dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 4.00 annual dividend payout (1.0 quarterly), the new rate is 4.12 (1.03 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $76.01 a share so at the current price of $116.00 the stock is overvalued and in order for this stock to be marked a “buy” the three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions that the stock must meet are:

1) in a correction mode – fail
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – fail
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since only one of the conditions are met, we mark it a “hold”.

The current yield is 3.55%.

The 10 year YOC would be 5.28% with no dividend reinvestment and 7.68% with DRIP. The company share price tracks the S&P 500 index long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for 23 years, the stock average total return would be 8.99% vs 8.74% of the index.

This make this stock a good source of income but also provide a good source of growth making this a good stock for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I long KMB and own shares of this company. It is in our watch list and when it appears as “buy” we may buy more shares of this stock.




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Posted by Martin February 13, 2019
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CVX increased dividend by 6.25%


CVX increased the dividend by 6.25% making this dividend champion‘s 32nd consecutive dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 4.48 annual dividend payout (1.12 quarterly), the new rate is 4.76 (1.19 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $295.01 a share so at the current price of $118.72 the stock is undervalued but in order for this stock to be marked a “buy” the three conditions must be met for us to buy the stock.

The three conditions are that the stock must be:

1) in a correction mode – fail
2) the current stock price must be below a fair value – pass
3) the 5 year average dividend yield must be lower than the current yield – pass

Since only two of the conditions are met, we mark it a “hold”.

The current yield is 4.01%%.

The 10 year YOC would be 4.88% with no dividend reinvestment and 7.17% with DRIP. The company share price outperforms the S&P 500 index long term. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for 23 years, the stock average total return would be 10.59% vs 8.74% of the index.

This make this stock a good source of income but also provide a great source of growth making this a good stock for dividend portfolio accumulation and growth phase. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I long CVX and own shares of this company. It is in our watch list and when it appears as “buy” we may buy more shares of this stock.




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Posted by Martin February 12, 2019
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ADM increased dividend by 4.48%


ADM increased the dividend by 4.48% making this dividend champion‘s 44th consecutive dividend increase.

The old dividend rate was 1.34 annual dividend payout (0.335 quarterly), the new rate is 1.40 (0.35 quarterly).

Our current fair value of the company is $28.22 a share so at the current price of $42.44 the stock is overvalued and we mark it a “hold”. The current yield is 3.16%.

The 10 year YOC would be 8.35% with no dividend reinvestment and 13.01% with DRIP. The company share price tracks the S&P 500 but is not able to outperform the index. If you invested 10,000 dollars in 1995 and held for 23 years, the stock average total return would be 7.63% vs 8.74% of the index.

This make this stock a good source of income but with under performing growth. If you are looking for both – dividend yield, dividend growth, and capital appreciation outperforming the index, then this stock is not for you.

Note, that during accumulation phase, I recommend seeking both – the dividend growth and capital appreciation. If you are a retiree and plan on living solely from your dividends then you do not need capital growth and this income stock is a safe investment.

 
Disclosure: Currently, I do not own ADM, but it is in our watch list and if it appears as “buy” we may buy shares of this stock.




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Posted by Martin February 04, 2019
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ADDING AT&T (T) SHARES


We closed our books last week revealing that we made over $2,600 in January (after quite slow start) which allowed us to invest some of the proceeds into good dividend growth stocks.

We use 50% of the options trading proceeds to buy DGI stocks according to our watch list. Whenever a stock is marked as a buy and we have generated enough income, we buy shares equivalent to $600 dollar investment. If we have more than $600, for example $1,300 dollars, we then buy (2) different companies (for example ATT and STX as we did in January 2019). If in our watch list, there are multiple shares marked as “buy” we buy the one with the highest dividend yield. Once a stock is purchased, it is marked with “X” so we do not buy it again once we make new money trading options. Then we continue buying all stocks in the list marked as “buy”. After all marked stocks are purchased, all “X”es are removed and we start from the beginning.
 

Today, AT&t met all our criteria to be purchased. So we bought 20 shares (added to our existing position):

 
BTO 20 T shares @ 29.86 debit
 

AT&T




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