Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for the week of January 26th to January 30th. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules.

Our TACO is on it again. When he fucked everything and everyone up in Davos, embarrassed our country as no president has ever done before, Canada decided to trade with China instead of the US. Our man-child McTitty Taco got offended and over the weekend was threatening Canada with 100% tariffs while Republicans are enabling him. I hope in November, Republicans receive their wakeup call from the voters.

While the Idiocracy continues, the weekend trading is down and so far all indicates that futures may open lower:

Of course, this may be just an overreaction to our man-child Narcissist in chief and futures or even cash may be bought once trading opens, the overall trend is concerning. The market is pretty much flat, struggling to make new highs (since the end of October 2025):

Are we in danger? Not yet:

But the market is stalling. It may mean two things – 1) building a new base for a new rally leg up, or 2) we are creating a topping pattern. If we break down from this pattern, expect serious drawdown.

The sentiment is bearish as everyone expects a crash. This is structurally bullish – until it isn’t. The sentiment doesn’t crashes the markets, it just postpones them. They do not happen because everyone expects them, in fact, the markets can keep grinding higher while the rest of the world is bearish. Crashes happen because something else changes – either funding stress, credit crunch, policy mistakes (we are close), or volatility feedback loops (self fulfilling event “prophecy” when rising volatility sparks selling which then forces more liquidations).

SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. As per my strategy and goals for 2026, I invest the proceeds to high yield dividend ETFs and for growth stocks, if possible, I use LEAPS and Poor Man’s Covered Calls strategy. The market struggled to move higher and this weakness seems to continue. Trump continues wrecking the US economy, ICE keeps shooting citizens in Minneapolis, which may spark a general strike in the entire state. This all brings uncertainty. And we can see it in the trend which is still extremely weak (Delta volume -5.91%). Unless something changes, I expect the market struggling. All this points to a need of aggressively raising cash.

We see too many knocks on the moving average. And as the “law of technical analysis” goes, “the more the trend is challenges, the more likely it will break.”

TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged Nasdaq100 fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. I still hold LEAPS but as you can see below the trend is rapidly deteriorating. I also have covered calls against my LEAPS and if we see further declines, I may move the covered calls in the money to protect the position.

BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Bitcoin failed to hold the trend and I was stopped out of the position. We are in cash again.

Happy trading/investing!

Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.

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Donald Trump, our TACO of the United States chickened out again. He no longer wants Greenland. He will no longer impose tariffs on the EU countries… As the moron in chief said, it is a long infinite process.

Why the markets reacted to his announcement about tariffs in the first place? Didn’t investors already learned that he is an old senile unintelligent coward? I don’t support him (I hate him) and his policies, but it was obvious that he would chicken out again.

Did you buy the sell off yesterday?

Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for the week of January 19th to January 23rd. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:

SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. As per my strategy and goals for 2026, I invest the proceeds to high yield dividend ETFs and for growth stocks, if possible, I use LEAPS and Poor Man’s Covered Calls strategy. The market struggled to move higher but it is still grinding up, although not as decisively as I would think so. The uptrend is extremely weak and it actually got worse last week (Delta volume -5.84%). This points to extreme weakness and the market may fail. The volatility is also spiking. The signals are negative and there is a chance that the markets will continue lower.

TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged Nasdaq100 fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. The chart turned negative so I moved all my TQQQ positions to cash. Last week I got buy signals so I bought LEAPS and started selling covered calls but the trend faded quickly. I am still in the position but what we are seeing here is the trend rolling over and this also points to a potential downtrend. If this continue, we may be getting out again.

The trend is bullish but extremely weak, weaker than last week (Delta volume 0.94%):

BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Bitcoin is now behaving properly and grinding up again. It broke up from the base, it is above the 50 day MA which is now sloping up. The chart indicates that the uptrend may continue. We opened a small position at the breakout and we are now waiting for this pullback to resolve. If it resolves, we will be adding another small position.

Happy trading/investing!

Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.

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Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for the week of January 12th to January 16th. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:

SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. As per my strategy and goals for 2026, I invest the proceeds to high yield dividend ETFs and for growth stocks, if possible, I use LEAPS and Poor Man’s Covered Calls strategy. The market recovered its last week of the year decline and started moving up again. We have a sell signal but that is an invalid one (weak sell). On top of it, we can see the trend strength improving from last two weeks. The uptrend is extremely weak (Delta volume -4.79%) so the trend is fragile. Also the volatility is spiking (so something is brewing under the hood). Yet, I expect this grind up to continue unless something dramatic happens. My expectation is that the next week will be higher.

TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged SPX fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. The chart turned negative so I moved all my TQQQ positions to cash. Last week we saw a good jump up, but again, the trend is weak (non-existent; we are literally moving sideways). So I am still in cash and mostly waiting for volatility signal to tell me to go back in. The 50 day MA is sloping down now so I am waiting.

We also had a false sell signal which was invalidated the very next day. The trend is bullish but extremely weak (Delta volume only 4.20%):

BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Bitcoin finally moved above its 50 day MA and now retreated back to the moving average. This is crucial to determine whether to buy in or wait. A few things need to happen: 1) the moving average needs to start trending up, 2) the price must remain above the moving average and jump up from it, 3) we need to see a breakthrough above the most recent highs. If those three events happen, I will be buying BTC back. Until then, I still recommend to stay away and am in cash.

Happy trading/investing!

Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.

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Here is my outlook for the market and some of my core positions for December 31th, 2025. This outlook is pure technical view based on simple technical rules:

SPX – I trade options against SPX (and /ES futures) to generate income that can be invested into dividend stocks or growth stocks. The market was still sliding lower, this time supposedly on FED being divided on whether to cut rates or not, but because of holidays, this is pretty much a noise. It will probably continue lower tomorrow too. Overall the chart is still bullish and if this ends up being just a minor pullback, it could be a good opportunity to buy in. However, volatility is so low, that I am suspecting a more serious pullback, possibly all the way to 6,800 level.

TQQQ – this is my core growth position. TQQQ is a 3x leveraged SPX fund. It goes up three times the market move. It also goes down three times, so if you decide to ride it down be prepared for two whacks (slaps in your face) – steep drawdown and rebalancing decay. The chart is bullish but weak now. Weaker than yesterday. If this continues tomorrow, we may be existing our TQQQ position and go to safety.

BTC – not a big fan of Bitcoin, but trading it for a good potential of good gains if you catch the trend. Bitcoin is still range-bound and struggles to break up or stage a new rally. It is now trading below the 50 day MA resistance. Because the 50 day MA is sloping down, breaking up above it needs to be confirmed by a successful break, re-test and new rally to enter a position. Not happening yet.  I still recommend to stay away. I am in cash.

Happy trading/investing!

Here is my entire spreadsheet with all positions.

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