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Posted by Martin January 16, 2025

Market Rally Rejected at Resistance

It is evident that today the market rejected the rally at the resistance. The bulls battle may still not be lost, we may be experiencing a pause after yesterday’s strong rally. The market bounced from the support line of a declining wedge and rallied hard. Probably too hard. We would prefer an incremental increase over Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 16, 2024

Letter to Investors – October 2024

Dear Partners, October has been a month of challenges and careful recalibration for our fund. Reflecting on this period, we faced leverage concerns and overtrading issues that tested the resilience of our strategy and brought valuable lessons about liquidity, risk management, and prudence. These experiences echo the words of renowned hedge fund manager Paul Tudor Continue reading →

Posted by Martin November 15, 2024

Consumers keep spending but worry about inflation

Schizofrenia of the American society in full display. Today’s news on Yahoo Finance delivered an article that October retail sales topped estimates in October and September sales reports were revised sharply higher. So the data shows that consumers keep spending and buying (usually what they do not need) like crazy.     On the other Continue reading →

Posted by Martin October 19, 2024

Letter to Investors – September 2024

Dear Partners, Reflecting on September’s trading, it is evident that we navigated a challenging yet successful month. The market offered its fair share of turbulence, with concerns about interest rates, geopolitical events, and persistent volatility. However, we ended the month in a strong position through disciplined strategy adjustments and strict adherence to our trading rules. Continue reading →

Posted by Martin July 01, 2024

Tech Stocks Set to Skyrocket Amid Global Labor Shortage, Says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee

In a forecast that could reshape investment strategies worldwide, Fundstrat’s Tom Lee has predicted a seismic shift in the stock market driven by an impending global labor shortage. According to Lee, technology stocks are on the brink of a parabolic rise, potentially transforming the tech sector into a dominant force within the S&P 500.   Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 24, 2024

Market Musings: Roller Coaster or Merry-Go-Round?

Welcome to the latest episode of Market Musings, where today’s stock market feels like it’s torn between a roller coaster and a merry-go-round. Investors are clutching their seats, trying to figure out if we’re in for thrilling ups and downs or just going in circles. Today’s market action was dominated by the Fed’s latest pronouncements, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 21, 2024

Understanding Why Investors Sell Shares at a Loss

Investing in the stock market can be a rollercoaster of emotions, especially for new investors. One of the more perplexing actions is when investors decide to sell their shares at a loss before those losses become “actualized.” On the surface, this may seem counterintuitive, but there are several strategic reasons behind this decision. Let’s dive Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 20, 2024

Market Musings: The Fed’s Tug-of-War and AI’s Sweet Spot

Welcome back to the stock market circus, where today’s main event is a tug-of-war featuring the Federal Reserve and every investor’s favorite frenemy, Uncertainty. The market’s mood swings are giving seasoned traders whiplash faster than you can say “economic forecast.”   On one end, we’ve got the Fed, pulling hard with their hawkish grip, hinting Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 20, 2024

Market suddenly ignoring “higher for longer”

Traders are defying the age-old Wall Street mantra, “never fight the Fed,” which might ignite a rally in overlooked stock market sectors. Despite clear Federal Reserve signals and central banker comments indicating that interest rates will remain elevated longer than anticipated, with the median forecast predicting only one rate cut this year, traders are betting Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 19, 2024

Market Musings: Is That a Smile or a Grimace?

Ah, the stock market – a place where dreams are made and dashed faster than you can say “rate hike.” Currently, the sentiment seems to be like that of a cat contemplating a leap from a high perch: cautious, calculating, and not entirely sure if it’s worth the risk.   Investors are sporting a cautious Continue reading →