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Posted by Martin September 01, 2011

SPY on the downhill road

Although the jobless claims were in line with expectations as well as manufacturing data the market failed to go thru the resistance and turned down. Europe’s manufacturing data disappointed and tomorrow we will have Labor data out. The ISM Index remained above 50 number, and although it is trending lower, we most likely will avoid Continue reading →

Posted by Martin August 31, 2011

Why I consider the market status in correction although the market rallies?

My colleague at work asked me that question when we discussed where I think this market will go. The answer was simple. SPY broke down from head and shoulder pattern on a very high volume and suffered some sort of a mini crash since then. It basically created a lower low and corrected to a Continue reading →

Posted by Martin August 31, 2011

Will the Greece debt drag the entire market back down?

Although there are many other aspects which will affect the next movement of the market such as weak economy, job data this coming Friday, ISM report (PMI index) etc, the Greece debt and the entire Eurozone debt crisis seems to be coming back. As probably every one knew, this issue hasn’t been solved at all, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin August 22, 2011

Market bouncing on its support, will it survive?

A few days SPY was bouncing on the $112.5-ish level. When looking at $VIX which is at the very elevated levels and considering today’s price action at the very end of the trading day (see the volume and price on any daily chart) I would assume the market was showing some exhaustion on selling. Therefore Continue reading →

Posted by Martin August 18, 2011

Wild ride: Where is the next stop?

The market as represented by SPY in my posts bounced from its resistance level at $120. Expected move although I was quite hoping for the end of this mess and that stronger economic data from the US companies would help the market break through and go a bit higher. Well, it didn’t happen and the Continue reading →

Posted by Martin August 11, 2011

Idiocy drives the market these days

Well I wanted to write something what I think about this market and investors who are selling and asking questions later, but at this point I am so disgusted that I lost my appetite. When yesterday SPY dropped and erased all gains from Monday because of French banks, my first though was “who cares?”. When Continue reading →

Posted by Martin August 08, 2011

Is there someone who trusts credit agencies today?

Investors once again dumped stocks this morning after Standard & Poor’s rating agency cut the US rating. What the heck? Who trusts the agencies which were always wrong? Those agencies are or were the problem of the mess in 2008 – 2009. Just remember companies such as Lehman Brothers and AIG! These agencies gave AAA Continue reading →

Posted by Martin July 13, 2011

Indecisive market and today’s disaster

Indecisive market and today's disaster

Will you believe me if I claim that today’s market trend was a disaster? Well, if not take a look at the daily chart. In the morning we gapped up and everything looked bright, but we ended down. Extensively down, compared to the morning’s start. Two days ago I tried to explain, why I was Continue reading →

Posted by Martin July 11, 2011

Market update – Bear correction or new bull?

Market update - Bear correction or new bull?

Today, the market reacted as I expected. After a strong run up in a very short period of time it was imminent that the market will correct. Being bullish near the first resistance or shortly above 50 day SMA was very dangerous. I myself was originally expecting the market bounce back down off of the Continue reading →

Posted by Martin July 07, 2011

Stock market overextended

Stock market overextended

Today the market was yet another surprise. S&P 500 gapped up and basically broke through the major resistance level. All happened because of job claims data. When I reviewed them I didn’t consider them that amazing. Apparently good enough to bring another wave of enthusiasm to the market. But the volume was once again quite Continue reading →