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Posted by Martin May 06, 2021
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Dividend Growth Stocks to Accumulate in May 2021


Our primary goal in our portfolio is to accumulate dividend growth stocks. Our secondary goal is to trade options around those stocks to generate income and reinvest that income to accumulate even more dividend growth stocks.

To find a proper strategy that would get me to my goal, I needed to answer a simple question: How to invest to achieve my goal? How to achieve a large enough income that can buy more stocks that would generate even more income? The answer was dividend growth stocks.

I was not satisfied with just dividends. An income from dividends is small and grows slowly. At least, at the beginning of the accumulation phase. So, I added an options strategy to generate even more income selling options and collecting premiums. But I wanted more. So, I started looking for speculative but safe high yielding dividend stocks (mostly ETFs and closed-end funds “CEF”). These stocks, unlike the dividend growth stocks, can be bought, but also sold out from our portfolio. The dividend growth stocks are the only stocks we plan to hold forever (unless they cut the dividend due to insufficient earnings or free cash flow).
 

Dividend growth stocks to accumulate in May 2021

Ticker Name Today’s
Price
Estimated
Annual
Dividend
Estimated
Yield
Accumulated
AFL Aflac 56.18 1.32 2.38% 100.0%
OMF OneMain Holdings 56.00 7.43 13.38% 75.0%
APAM Artisan Partners 56.35 3.35 6.16% 0.0%
ASG Liberty All-Star 9.08 0.72 7.96% 100.0%
QYLD Global X NASDAQ Cov Calls 22.33 0.72 11.73% 100.0%
CHI Calamos Convertible Opps 15.03 1.14 7.62% 100.0%
CSQ Calamos Total Return 18.00 1.23 6.85% 0.0%
NEWT Newtek Business Services 27.91 2.11 7.42% 0.0%
ADC Agree Realty Corporation 69.85 2.60 3.74% 0.0%
STAG STAG Industrial 35.80 1.45 4.15% 0.0%
MAIN Main Street Capital Corporation 41.58 2.46 5.85% 0.0%
O Realty Income Corporation 67.55 2.82 4.20% 100.0%
RYLD Global X Russell 2000 Cov Call 24.84 2.88 10.58% 0.0%
ABBV AbbVie Inc. 116.08 5.20 4.49% 40.0%
AES The AES Corporation 25.45 0.60 2.27% 100.0%
AAPL Apple Inc. 129.74 0.88 0.69% 20.0%
EVN * Eaton Vance Muni Income 13.96 0.57 4.11% 0.0%
PMX * PIMCO Muni Income 12.54 0.55 4.40% 100.0%
EIM * Eaton Vance Muni Bond 13.57 0.60 4.40% 0.0%
FLMN Falcon Minerals Corporation 4.98 0.20 4.16% 0.0%
NEV * Nuveen Enhanced Muni 16.29 0.73 4.49% 0.0%

(Prices and yields as of May 6th, 2021)
* Dividends are exempt from federal income tax
 

Do your own due diligence if you decide to invest in these stocks. The information here is believed to be accurate but may have changed since publishing.
 
 




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Posted by Martin May 01, 2021
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2021 Week 17 investing and trading report


April is over and it is time to write our weekly investing and trading report. But before we proceed, let’s mention that today is a day when Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett with Charlie Munger have their annual meeting. I plan to visit the next year’s meeting if it will be opened to the public again (this meeting is still online only).

 

 

April 2021 was a weak month. We only made $84 dollars in premiums last week and the entire month ended with $2,336 options income. But, in the stock market, you cannot force it. You force it, you lose it. We were fully invested, we had to roll some trades and that prevented us from reopening new trades to increase our income. But, a few trades expired this week and next week I expect re-opening new trades.

On the other hand, our dividend income started bringing fruits from our aggressive dividend growth stocks accumulation. Our income jumped from $30 – $60 to $200 of income, so that is a bright spot in the entire April’s trading and investing results.

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $54,310.18 +$872.80 +1.63%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $84.00    
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%  
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%  
03 March 2021 Options: $5,258.00 +12.79%  
04 April 2021 Options: $2,336.00 +4.30%  
Options Premiums YTD: $16,687.00 +30.73%  
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $119.08    
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04    
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00    
03 March 2021 Dividends: $30.31    
04 April 2021 Dividends: $179.10    
Dividends YTD: $325.45    
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 4.37%    
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 7.47%    
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $8,569.31 15.72%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $58,366.63 107.10%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $221,874.11 407.13%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $1,220,992.87 2,240.49%  
Portfolio Alpha: 21.14%    
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.95    
CAGR: 805.01%    
AROC: 25.23%    
TROC: 19.57%    
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 30.38%  
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 128.26% Accomplished

 

We continued accumulating dividend growth stocks to achieve our dividend weekly dividend income. We accumulated shares of ABBV, OMF, and AAPL. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value decreased from $68,258.17 to $59,324.59. This was possibly caused by our broker’s weird Buying power manipulation. We had our BP growing and we parked our available cash and BP into the ICSH fund, but apparently, according to Tasty Works, they provided me with a $13,000 cash allowance to maintain a position (I do not know which) and once I closed the position, this allowance was taken away and my account got into a margin call. So I had to adjust my cash holdings to accommodate the call (glad I was creating cash reserves) to do so. This also prevented us from more trading last week.

 
Stock holdings week 17
 

Last week, we adjusted a few options trades and opened a few new trades against AES, and OMF. We started creating a ladder in these tickers opening strangles against those stocks. We picked these stocks because the capital requirements for these trades are very low (about $300 per strangle) and I want to see how these trades would work in case the position would go completely against me. Will I be able to manage them all? Or will I get busted? If I get busted, it will not be very costly. Once I gain some confidence, I can keep creating ladders against other positions too. For the entire April 2021, we received $2,336.00 premiums only. I hope, May will be a better month.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

We did open a few new trades last week and some trades expired this week. The BP reduction decreased from $44,388.11 to $43,474.75, a decrease by -$913.36 (-2.06%). This represents 157.80% of margin usage.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 4.30% monthly ROI, totaling a 30.73% ROI.

Our account grew by 159.75% this year.
 

Our options trading averaged $4,171.75 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $50,061.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side to close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

Last week, we added SNOW to our positions. We still want to accumulate 100 shares of this stock and start selling covered calls. As of now, we trade Iron Condors against this stock, but once we accumulate shares, we will switch to a CC.

We also plan on accumulating Tesla (TSLA) and do the same as with SNOW.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

Our primary goal, and strategy, is to accumulate high-quality dividend growth stocks. We continued accumulating the following dividend stocks and as of today hold the following shares:
 

AAPL (20), ABBV (40), and OMF (70).
 

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks. We also want to build a weekly dividend income as per this calendar:
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

We are reaching our weekly dividend income goal as almost all weeks are filled with dividend income.

 

Market Outlook

 

The market is still in its consolidation pattern. It tried to continue higher but retreated at the end of the last week. It continues in an indecisive pattern and we have to wait for the market to tell us what to do next. If we break up, expect a more bullish run. If we reverse and go down, expect the bearish move to $4,000 level or around it.

nbsp;
SPX April 31 2021 outlook

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own in the future. I call it monetizing our positions. If you look at our holdings table below, there are two column sections. The right section is “Options adjusted”. That section applies options premiums to the cost basis of our stocks. And there you can see how beneficial it is. It will make a significant difference when the market is falling yet our stocks will still be in green.

 

Investing and trading in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 17

 
TW Account holdings week 17
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 8.86%. With options, our holdings are up 16.11% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 44.54% since inception. Since the inception of our portfolio, our stock holdings underperform the overall market (up only 16.11% on a cumulative basis). This week, our adjusted stock holdings underperformed the market. The market gained 14.70% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 9.13% YTD. This includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire account. If we include the entire portfolio and options trading, we beat the market significantly (up 164.00%).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

The stock holdings growth slowed down because we added many new stock positions and these positions didn’t have time to grow yet, so I expect the growth trend to improve over time and beat the market.

 
TW Options Income week 17
 

TW Options Annual Income week 17
 

 

Our dividend goal and future dividends

 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 17
 

Our portfolio still doesn’t represent the true dividend income potential, but this last week we started seeing the results of our accumulation effort kicking in. Our dividend income jumped up by 33%. We are on track to accomplish our dividend income goal, currently, we are at 30% of the goal. The $1,071 of dividend income is our goal based on the expected stock accumulation we set at the beginning of the year. It is our goal we want to achieve.

The chart below, on the other hand, indicates the dividend income of stocks we already accumulated. That means, that if we do nothing and everything stays the same for the rest of the year, we should receive $2,747.27 in dividends.
 

TW Received vs Future Dividends week 17

 

Our account cumulative return

 

This is another metric I started tracking (since March 13, 2021) recently.
 

TW cumulative return wk 17
 

As of today, our account cumulative return is 25.56% (since March 13, 2021).

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was great and we created a lot of income making March our best month so far.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin April 24, 2021
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2021 Week 16 investing and trading report


April is heading to its end and I am providing my weekly investing and trading report to show how our account grew last week, what trades we took and where we are in accomplishing our goals. April was slow trading stock options and our income for the whole month appears to be low and below average. But I do not expect every month to be a heyday. Last week, we focused on managing the existing trades, opened a few new ones, but mostly continued accumulating dividend stocks. We also significantly increased cash reserves.

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $53,437.38 +$6,185.87 +13.09%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $810.00    
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%  
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%  
03 March 2021 Options: $5,258.00 +12.79%  
04 April 2021 Options: $2,252.00 +4.21%  
Options Premiums YTD: $16,603.00 +31.07%  
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $9.50    
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04    
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00    
03 March 2021 Dividends: $30.31    
04 April 2021 Dividends: $60.02    
Dividends YTD: $206.37    
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 4.00%    
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 7.47%    
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $8,658.28 13.65%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $53,311.28 84.05%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $187,163.95 295.09%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $926,263.52 1,460.36%  
Portfolio Alpha: 23.06%    
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.78    
CAGR: 816.54%    
AROC: 24.05%    
TROC: 21.29%    
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 19.26%  
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 126.20% Accomplished

 

We continued accumulating dividend growth stocks to achieve our dividend weekly dividend income. We accumulated shares in ABBV, OMF, T, and TSN. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value increased from $47,486.85 to $68,258.17. We parked available cash in the ICSH fund which we use as cash reserves. The fund holds value during volatile markets and it pays a dividend. It used to pay 1.90% but lately, the yield dropped to 1.09%. Still, a better deal compared to high yield savings accounts that pay 0.60% only. We keep the cash in the ICSH fund as a reserve and sell shares only if we need to release buying power to cover a trade (or a margin call). On the other hand, having free cash tied in the fund prevents me from using it and over-trading. That was my biggest sin in the past. Also, money in the fund makes the cash to make some small money receiving dividends rather than just sitting in the account making nothing.

 
Stock holdings week 16
 

Last week, we adjusted a few trades such as AT&T (T) strangle where the call side got in the money and AT&T is difficult to roll, so we didn’t want the trade to run away from us. We received $810.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings. For the entire April 2021, we received $2,252.00 premiums, and all our income was parked in ICSH reserves. This income is low and I expect April to be low on income. But, evidently, it is good at growth.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

We did open a few new trades last week. The BP reduction increased from $33,294.50 to $44,388.11, a BP usage increased by $11,093.61 (+33.32%). This represents 167.00% of margin usage.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 4.21% monthly ROI, totaling a 31.07% ROI.

Our account grew by 159.75% this year.
 

Our options trading averaged $4,150.75 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $49,809.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side to close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

Last week, we didn’t add any growth stocks to our portfolio. We still plan on adding SNOW when it is trading this low and we are planning on accumulating Tesla (TSLA). But Tesla keeps moving higher and I am waiting for it to drop to add more shares. We keep selling Iron Condors or vertical spreads to receive premiums and lower our cost basis.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

Our primary goal, and strategy, is to accumulate high-quality dividend growth stocks. We continued accumulating the following dividend stocks and as of today hold the following shares:
 

We finished accumulating Realty Income (100) and continued adding: ABBV (34), OMF (50), AT&T (150), and TSN (10).
 

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks. We also want to build a weekly dividend income as per this calendar:
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

We are reaching our weekly dividend income goal as almost all weeks are filled with dividend income.

 

Market Outlook

 

The market reached our price target at the $4,200 level almost perfectly. Technical analysis is not an exact science and the targets or levels are approximate. So it is quite amazing to see that the market landed at our target exactly and then stalled.

nbsp;
SPX April 24 2021 outlook
 

The market is now entering a consolidation base consolidating sharp gains. That is a good sign. That helps with the trend continuation. This pattern can be also interpreted as a “flag” or “pennant” pattern. Both are bullish continuation patterns if cleared successfully. If the market breaks to the upside, expect bullish trend continuation, and the next price target would be around $4,440 level. If we do not clear this pattern and it falls, expect a pullback to $4,100 or even back to the $4,000 level. But, we must wait to see what the market wants to do next.

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own in the future. I call it monetizing our positions. If you look at our holdings table below, there are two column sections. The right section is “Options adjusted”. That section applies options premiums to the cost basis of our stocks. And there you can see how beneficial it is. It will make a significant difference when the market is falling yet our stocks will still be in green.

 

Investing and trading report in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 16
 

It is amazing to see how the portfolio growth is speeding up once it grows larger. We are almost at $2,000 net-liq gains per week. If I extrapolate this rate of change to the remaining 37 weeks this account should grow by another staggering $74,000, finishing the year 2021 at $121,250.

 
TW Account holdings week 16
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 7.62%. With options, our holdings are up 13.15% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 44.51% since inception. Since the inception of our portfolio, our stock holdings underperform the overall market (up only 13.15% on a cumulative basis). This week, our adjusted stock holdings underperformed the market. The market gained 14.66% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 6.17% YTD. This includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire account. If we include the entire portfolio and options trading, we beat the market significantly (up 159.75%).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

The stock holdings growth slowed down because we added many new stock positions and these positions didn’t have time to grow yet, so I expect the growth trend to improve over time and beat the market.

 
TW Options Income week 16
 

TW Options Annual Income week 16
 

 

Our dividend goal and future dividends

 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 16
 

Our portfolio still doesn’t represent the true dividend income potential. The $1,071 of dividend income is our goal based on the expected stock accumulation. The chart below indicates the dividend income of currently accumulated stocks. But as of now, we are not yet receiving this income as we just finished accumulating these stocks and since the companies pay quarterly, we already missed the 1st quarter.
 

TW Received vs Future Dividends week 16

 

Our account cumulative return

 

This is another metric I started tracking (since March 13, 2021) recently.
 

TW cumulative return wk 16
 

As of today, our account cumulative return is 23.54% (since March 13, 2021).

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was great and we created a lot of income making March our best month so far.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin April 19, 2021
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Why I think there will be no stock market crash anytime soon


Last few weeks and months, many people thought and predicted that there will be a stock market crash. Many predicted another crash in 2020. That didn’t happen. Now they are predicting a crash in 2021. Here is why I think there will be no market crash in 2021 either.

 

Pundits join the stock market crash narrative

 

More and more pundits are joining the narrative about the stock market crash. Recently, Suze Orman joined the group of panic spreaders with her prediction of this year’s stock market crash and that she is preparing for it. In the recent Yahoo article, Orman advised on how to prepare yourself for the upcoming crash. Let’s ignore the fact that Orman has little to no exposure to the stock market and almost all her wealth is in bonds (in 2007 interview with NY Times magazine, she admitted that her $30 million net worth is in municipal bonds and only one million dollars is in stocks, because “she doesn’t believe in stocks“), her advice has or should have, no value to anyone listening to her.

Then you go to Youtube and you have another large group of people predicting crashes and fiercely explaining why they sold off their portfolios and you should too.

One main reason for the upcoming crash these people push through is the so-called “Buffett indicator”.

 

Buffett Indicator is a sham

 

When you know what the so-called Buffett indicator is, you probably wonder, as well as I do, whether Warren Buffett really believes in this indicator himself. Although, Buffett said about the indicator that it is “probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment”, I believe, it is either grossly misused or I am looking at it from the wrong perspective.

So, what is the indicator about? It is an aggregate market ratio (or how cheap or expensive the market is) to the economic output (or to the nation’s GDP).

 
Buffett Indicator predicts stock market crash
 

And according to all those “experts”, …the Buffett Indicator, which is a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.

 

2 + 2 = fish

 

Using the Buffett indicator resembles the famous quote by Jamie Shipley in Big Short that “It’s like two plus two equals fish.” Why? Because, in my opinion, and correct me if I am wrong, the indicator, the way it is described, is comparing two totally different outputs that are not comparable.

Let me explain.

If the indicator is comparing the current market valuation with the current nation’s GDP, then it is utterly wrong. The stock market is a forward-looking pricing machine. The stock market is pricing in the future economic output, not current output. It prices in the future expectations about the economy. The market is predicting the future and then correcting itself if the future prediction was not as expected. We all know that Ms. Market looks ahead to 6 months or one-year future and provides us with prices of what she thinks is going to happen in that future.

 

February 2020 – March 2020 stock market crash and economic output

 

When the Covid-19 hit the fear of the catastrophic impact on the US and global economies would be severe and the stock market crashed almost 40%. Everyone was predicting the end of the world. The decline and fear of the virus started on February 20, 2020.

Was the market expressing the current economic output? No, it was not. The data were not yet reported. No one could know what the GPD would look like in February! The Bureau of Economic Analysis releases GDP data quarterly and February 20, 2020 data were not known until March 25, 2020, so what caused the stock market to crash? Certainly not the current economic output the pundits are telling us using the Buffett Indicator.

 
Stock market crash
 

The US economy, cities, towns, and businesses got closed on March 27, 2020. I know that, because on that day, I was moving from Colorado Springs to Denver and Denver’s mayor issued a curfew that day and closed the businesses. And when that happened, the market was already down 40%. In fact, it already recovered some of the losses!

And when the GDP data got released on March 25, 2020, showing that the US economy got down by 5.36%, the market rallied. The next issuance of the GDP data showed that the GDP lost 15.58% the market rallied even more.

People considered it crazy, saying that the economy lost 16% GDP and the market rallies… crazy!… manipulation!!… FED fault!!! But no, the market was just correcting itself. It crashed by 40% but the economy crashed by 16% only, so it was obvious that the market would rally to the mean value. And it continued rallying as it was obvious that there will be no more damage and that the US economy will be undergoing a sharp recovery.

 

Why there will be no stock market crash, at least not now

 

By now, I hope you see my point. The market is looking far ahead, so comparing it to today’s economic outlook (GDP) is wrong and misleading. If you want to compare today’s stock market pricing, then compare it to the GDP 6 months in the future, not today, well, of course, if you have any means to know what the US GDP will look like 6 months from now.

People were again outraged by the market’s behavior. People were losing jobs, businesses closed and bankrupt, and the crazy market was rallying and thus detached from reality.

But again, not true. The market was looking far beyond reality. It was looking to the future and saw, that there will be vaccines, businesses reopening, the government approving stimulus packages to support the businesses and Americans, and the economy would be growing again.

Today, our current government approved the 1.9T stimulus package. The Biden administration is about to proceed with a large infrastructure program. If approved as presented in its current writeup, it would be the largest program comparable to Roosevelt’s New Deal.

Biden plans to spend $621 billion on infrastructure, $650 billion on housing improvement, and affordable housing, $400 billion on caregiving programs and caregivers, and $480 billion on research, development, and manufacturing.

You may say that it is another money pumping into the economy that would inflate the bubble even more. But no, this time, if really spent as planned, it would create jobs across the board. Road workers will be needed, construction workers, nurses, scientists, engineers, teachers, all professions will be involved to participate. And it will spark the largest economic boom ever seen. And the market is in fact pricing it in and positioning itself for more bullish growth. Of course, there will be corrections and bumps (dips) on the road, but that is normal and to be expected.




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Posted by Martin April 17, 2021
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2021 Week 15 investing and trading report


Another week of April is over and it is time to provide our weekly investing and trading report again. I am extremely pleased to see our portfolio growth acceleration. It grows faster every week. Last week, we continued accumulating dividend growth stocks and trading options around our stock positions. Although, last week, we just adjusted our options trades.

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $47,251.51 +$4,645.16 +10.90%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $564.00    
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%  
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%  
03 March 2021 Options: $5,258.00 +12.79%  
04 April 2021 Options: $1,442.00 +3.05%  
Options Premiums YTD: $15,793.00 +33.42%  
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $8.31    
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04    
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00    
03 March 2021 Dividends: $30.31    
04 April 2021 Dividends: $50.52    
Dividends YTD: $196.87    
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 3.98%    
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 7.47%    
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $5,993.02 13.56%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $36,737.44 83.15%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $128,526.00 290.89%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $633,093.50 1,432.87%  
Portfolio Alpha: 24.45%    
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.89    
CAGR: 781.03%    
AROC: 28.25%    
TROC: 17.29%    
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 18.37%  
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 111.59% Accomplished

 

We continued accumulating our stocks to achieve our dividend weekly dividend income. We accumulated shares in Realty Income (O), ABBV, AAPL, and we finished accumulating (we reached 100 shares) PMX according to our plan. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value increased from $44,923.51 to $47,486.85.

 
Stock holdings week 15
 

Five of our options trades expired last Friday. One of the trade that expired was a strangle against Wendy’s (WEN). Unfortunately, the call leg was in the money and I forgot to check the trade to roll it. For many months WEN was going sideways (ideal for strangles or Iron Condors) and I became complacent. Our calls expired in the money and now we are a proud owner of -100 shares of Wendy’s. I plan on closing the trade on Monday. That would incur a small loss.

Last week was slow in trading. We only adjusted a few trades only. We received $564.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings. For the entire April 2021, we received $1,442.00 premiums, and all our income was reinvested.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

We did open any new trades last week. The BP reduction decreased from $39,451.90 to $33,294.50, a BP usage decreased by -$6,157.40 or -15.61%. Of course, next week, I plan to re-open new trades to replace the expired ones.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 3.05% monthly ROI, totaling a 33.42% ROI.

Our account increased to 111.59% YTD growth.
 

Our options trading averaged $3,948.25 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $47,379.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side to close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

Last week, we added AAPL to our portfolio and we added Snowflake (SNOW). For some reason, SNOW is a hated company by Wall Street. It suffered significant selling pressure last few weeks. I do not understand why. I still think SNOW is another Amazon in the cloud services industry. If done right, the company will perform well and could become a significant competitor to AMZN’s AWS. Although SNOW’s net income is declining, its cash is growing and its revenue is also growing year by year. This tells me that they are doing something right.

 
SNOW revenue growth
 

I plan on continuing to accumulate this stock and reach 100 shares. After I reach 100 shares, I will start selling covered calls. I wanted to sell strangles but the stock is not marginable as of now (at least my broker doesn’t allow to trade on margin as of yet due to the stock’s recent IPO) so it is too expensive to trade cash secured. But once I accumulate 100 shares, I should be able to trade a standard wheel strategy.

 
SNOW price chart wk 15
 

Since the stock is in the “hate” territory and investors sold off the stock that now it trades below its IPO price I expect that it may go even lower from here. The stock may go down to $150 a share or even $100 a share. Yet, I still plan on adding shares to build the position.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

It still is our core investment strategy to accumulate high-quality dividend growth stocks. We continued accumulating the following dividend stocks and as of today hold the following shares:
 

Realty Income (85), ABBV (25), PMX (100), and AAPL (18)
 

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks. We also want to build a weekly dividend income as per this calendar:
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

We are reaching our weekly dividend income goal as almost all weeks are filled with dividend income.

 

Market Outlook

 

The market is reaching our goal target of $4,200 level. It was a straight run-up. I definitely didn’t expect this fast move but it happened. A pull-back is now likely, although I expect a minor one, possibly back to $4,000 level (or 4% to 5% pullback).

 
SPX April 17 2021 outlook
 

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own in the future. I call it monetizing our positions. If you look at our holdings table below, there are two column sections. The right section is “Options adjusted”. That section applies options premiums to the cost basis of our stocks. And there you can see how beneficial it is. It will make a significant difference when the market is falling yet our stocks will still be in green.

 

Investing and trading report in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 15
 

It is amazing to see how the portfolio growth is speeding up once it grows larger. We are almost at $2,000 net-liq gains per week. If I extrapolate this rate of change to the remaining 37 weeks this account should grow by another staggering $74,000, finishing the year 2021 at $121,250.

 
TW Account holdings week 15
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 10.76%. With options, our holdings are up 17.87% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 44.69% since inception. Since the inception of the fund, our stock holdings underperform the overall market (up only 17.87% on a cumulative basis). This week, our adjusted stock holdings underperformed the market. The market gained 14.84% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 10.89% YTD. This includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire account. If we include the entire portfolio and options trading, we beat the market significantly.
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

The stock holdings growth slowed down because we added many new positions and these positions didn’t have time to grow yet, so I expect the growth trend to improve over time and beat the market.

 
TW Options Income week 15
 

TW Options Annual Income week 15
 

 

Our dividend goal and future dividends

 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 15
 

Our portfolio still doesn’t represent the true dividend income potential. The $1,071 of dividend income is our goal based on the expected stock accumulation. The chart below indicates the dividend income of currently accumulated stocks. But as of now, we are not yet receiving this income as we just finished accumulating these stocks and since the companies pay quarterly, we already missed the 1st quarter.
 

TW Received vs Future Dividends week 15

 

Our account cumulative return

 

This is another metric I started tracking (since March 13, 2021) recently.
 

TW cumulative return wk 15
 

As of today, our account cumulative return is 23.38% (since March 13, 2021).

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was great and we created a lot of income making March our best month so far.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin April 10, 2021
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2021 Week 14 investing and trading report


The first week of April is over and it is time to provide our weekly investing and trading report again. Our portfolio growth seems to be gaining steam and growing faster than before. We continued the aggressive accumulation of stocks that we like because they pay us dividends while we wait for them to appreciate in their value. We also continued aggressive options trading bringing in more income that can be reinvested.

This week, we doubled our account and met our annual portfolio net-liquidating value goal!

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $42,606.35 +$1,492.13 +3.63%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $885.00    
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%  
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%  
03 March 2021 Options: $5,258.00 +12.79%  
04 April 2021 Options: $878.00 +2.06%  
Options Premiums YTD: $15,229.00 +35.74%  
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $0.71    
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04    
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00    
03 March 2021 Dividends: $30.31    
04 April 2021 Dividends: $42.21    
Dividends YTD: $188.56    
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 4.04%    
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 7.47%    
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $6,050.48 13.84%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $37,610.31 86.02%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $133,036.96 304.28%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $665,041.94 1,521.06%  
Portfolio Alpha: 26.78%    
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.88    
CAGR: 756.99%    
AROC: 35.98%    
TROC: 23.62%    
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 17.60%  
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 100.62% Accomplished

 

We continued accumulating our stocks to achieve our dividend weekly dividend income. We accumulated shares in Realty Income (O), ABBV, AAPL, and we finished accumulating (we reached 100 shares) AES according to our plan. I also decided to start increasing holdings in AT&T (T) stock. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value increased from $44,923.51 to $47,486.85.

 
Stock holdings week 14
 

Last week, we received $885.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings. For the entire April 2021, we received $878.00 premiums, and all our income was reinvested.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

We opened new trades last week. The BP reduction increased from $37,123.70 to $39,451.90, a reduction of +$2,328.20 or +6.27%.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 2.06% monthly ROI, totaling a 35.74% ROI.

Our account increased to 107.10% YTD growth. This means, we just doubled our account.
 

Our options trading averaged $3,807.25 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $45,687.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side to close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

In the last few weeks, I was accumulating Tesla (TSLA) stock. This week we have not bought any new shares. We started trading Iron Condors against Tesla to start lowering our cost basis.

We are also accumulating g Apple (AAPL) stock although last week we have not purchased any new shares.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. I continued accumulating Realty Income (O) this week and as of today, we hold 60 shares.

We also accumulated ABBV and AES stocks. We increased our position in ABBV to 17 shares, and we reached 100 shares in AES company.

We started accumulating PMX shares (a tax-free municipal bond fund). We currently hold 40 shares and plan to reach 100.

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks but also create a weekly dividend income from these stocks All it takes to create a weekly dividend income is to buy 12 stocks to spread the income for every week. I created this dividend calendar and track the stocks I want to buy to get this goal done fast.
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

As you can see in the table above, we are reaching our weekly dividend income goal as almost all weeks are filled with dividend income. All that is missing is February and March first week “slot” (and subsequent months) but others are already filled. April should deliver an income every week. After we add all weeks, we will start increasing shares so the income is larger and larger every week. Also, note that I have included holdings of 100 shares in this table only. So, for example, we own 17 shares of AAPL and therefore it is not yet included in this table although we will receive income next month.

 

Market Outlook

 

The market continues playing according to the expected price move. I still expect this market to hit the $4,200 mark in the near future. I expected this moe, but I have not expected this “straight-up” move. But I am happy with it, too.

 
SPX April 02 2021 outlook
 

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), covers our call sides of each trade, and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

We added a few new trades to our portfolio and we are close to having our trading “full”, or be fully invested. Once that happens, we will start trading multiple contracts. As of now, we mostly trade one contract of strangles. I am still thinking about building a ladder using LEAPS against SPY and AAPL as of now but not yet decided.

 

Investing and trading report in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 13
 

Our aggressive accumulation of dividend stocks, using proceeds from aggressive options trading (by “aggressive” I do not mean reckless, but using all available funds and be fully invested at all times), is delivering fruits. Our net liquidation value increased significantly this year. I expect this trend to continue. I am also preparing our account for portfolio margin and once we achieve the required net-liq value, I will add this feature to our account. I hope to be able to trade a bit more aggressively. And yes, I am aware of potential risks.

 
TW Account holdings week 14
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 8.61%. With options, our holdings are up 14.93% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 42.73% since inception. Since the inception of the fund, our stock holdings underperform the overall market (up only 14.93% on a cumulative basis). This week, our adjusted stock holdings underperformed the market. The market gained 12.89% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 7.95% YTD. This includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio. If we include the entire portfolio and options trading, we beat the market significantly.
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

The stock holdings growth slowed down because we added many new positions and these positions didn’t have time to grow yet, so I expect the growth trend to improve over time and beat the market.

 
TW Options Income week 14
 

TW Options Annual Income week 14
 

 

Our dividend goal and future dividends

 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 14
 

I have added another view into our holdings and their expected performance. Below is a chart of all future expected dividends on our holdings. The chart above indicates our dividend goal rather than expected dividends, the new chart below indicates our holdings and their dividend payouts vs. received payouts. In other words, these are the dividends we should receive if we held these positions at the current level since January 1st. But because we have not held those positions since January, we will not be able to receive those dividends. We added new positions just recently so all dividends that are included in the “projected” value were not paid to us. But, if we stop investing now, the “projected” dividend value (currently $1,866.22) is the annual dividend rate we should be receiving as passive income every year without touching anything in our portfolio.
 

TW Received vs Future Dividends week 14

 

Our account cumulative return

 

This is another metric I started tracking (since March 13, 2021) recently.
 

TW cumulative return wk 14
 

As of today, our account cumulative return is 17.45% (since March 13, 2021).

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was great and we created a lot of income making March our best month so far.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin April 04, 2021
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Dividend Growth Stocks to Accumulate in April 2021


We have a few goals to achieve for our investment portfolio, some goals are primary, others are secondary goals that support the primary goal. I wish, I had more disposable funds to invest and that determined our primary goal – invest and trade so our investments generate enough income that can be reinvested. And here is a list of stocks to accumulate in April to achieve our goal.

To set a goal I needed to answer a simple question: How to invest to achieve my goal? How to achieve a large enough income that can buy more stocks that would generate even more income? The answer was dividend growth stocks.

I was not satisfied with just dividends. An income from dividends is small and grows slowly. At least, at the beginning of the accumulation phase. So, I added an options strategy to generate even more income selling options and collecting premiums. But I wanted more. So, I started looking for speculative but safe high yielding dividend stocks (mostly ETFs and closed-end funds “CEF”). These stocks, unlike the dividend growth stocks, can be bought, but also sold out from our portfolio. The dividend growth stocks are the only stocks we plan to hold forever (unless they cut the dividend due to insufficient earnings or free cash flow).
 

I think I have found a few good candidates I would like to add to my accumulation list.
 

Stocks to accumulate list:

Ticker Name Today’s
Price
Estimated
Annual
Dividend
Estimated
Yield
Accumulated
AFL Aflac 51.16 1.32 2.58% 100.0%
OMF OneMain Holdings 54.99 7.06 13.14% 0.0%
APAM Artisan Partners 52.52 3.08 5.86% 0.0%
ASG Liberty All-Star 8.63 0.66 7.65% 100.0%
QYLD Global X NASDAQ Cov Calls 22.70 0.23 11.49% 100.0%
CHI Calamos Convertible Opps 14.38 1.14 7.93% 100.0%
CSQ Calamos Total Return 17.42 1.23 7.06% 0.0%
NEWT Newtek Business Services 26.89 2.11 7.85% 0.0%
ADC Agree Realty Corporation 68.09 2.48 3.65% 0.0%
STAG STAG Industrial 34.56 1.45 4.20% 0.0%
MAIN Main Street Capital Corporation 39.85 2.46 6.17% 0.0%
O Realty Income Corporation 65.11 2.82 4.33% 55.0%
RYLD Global X Russell 2000 Cov Call 24.51 2.88 10.57% 0.0%
ABBV (NEW) AbbVie Inc. 108.52 5.20 4.79% 13.0%
AES (NEW) The AES Corporation 27.07 0.60 2.22% 70.0%
AAPL (NEW) Apple Inc. 123.00 0.82 0.67% 17.0%
EVN (NEW) Eaton Vance Muni Income 13.79 0.57 4.15% 0.0%
PMX (NEW) PIMCO Muni Income 12.40 0.55 4.45% 0.0%
EIM (NEW) Eaton Vance Muni Bond 13.33 0.60 4.47% 0.0%
FLMN (NEW) Falcon Minerals Corporation 4.71 0.20 4.34% 0.0%

(Prices and yields as of April 4th, 2021)
 

Do your own due diligence if you decide to invest in these stocks. The information here is believed to be accurate but may have changed since publishing.
 
 




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Posted by Martin April 03, 2021
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2021 Week 13 investing and trading report


March 2021 is in the books! And as you would be able to see in this investing and trading report, it was our best month this year generating a nice income for our partnership members. The month of March started slow and I thought it would stay like this. But as the market started going up again and some of our options trades expired and we re-opened them, it picked up and our account ended to be the best month. The generated income from options premiums was reinvested into dividend growth stocks holdings. I hope, the next month will be even better!

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $41,114.22 +$1,400.24 +3.53%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $93.00    
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%  
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%  
03 March 2021 Options: $5,258.00 +12.79%  
04 April 2021 Options: -$7.00 -0.02%  
Options Premiums YTD: $14,344.00 +34.89%  
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $9.92    
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04    
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00    
03 March 2021 Dividends: $30.31    
04 April 2021 Dividends: $41.50    
Dividends YTD: $187.85    
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 4.19%    
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 8.10%    
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $6,548.14 15.74%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $49,403.49 118.76%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $207,923.34 499.80%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $1,345,568.52 3,234.47%  
Portfolio Alpha: 26.02%    
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.87    
CAGR: 759.37%    
AROC: 27.82%    
TROC: 22.78%    
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 17.53%  
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 97.10%  

 

The dividend growth and yield on cost growth are impressive over time. The numbers in the table above indicate how great passive income this portfolio will deliver in the next 20 years. And in the next 30 years, this portfolio will deliver over a million dollars annually in dividend income. That is a state of this portfolio as of today, given that we will do nothing from now on. But we will keep investing, accumulating, and monetizing our portfolio.

The future and the prospect of future dividend income are bright. Yet building such a portfolio is a slow and somewhat painful process. It takes time. If you look at the current dividend income, it looks pitiful and laughable. And many people will tell you that it makes no sense to invest in dividend growth stocks. The income is not worth it. We have over $40,000 invested in dividend stocks and we only received $30 in dividend income.

Unfortunately for the naysayers, this is an incredibly simplified and incorrect view. The invested amount is an amount as of today, invested in these stocks just last week and it had not yet time to transform into the dividend income. It will come later as the next quarterly dividends kick in. But people fail to see it.

Last week we continued accumulating our stocks to achieve our dividend weekly dividend income. We accumulated shares in Realty Income (O), ABBV, AAPL, and AES according to our plan. I also decided to start increasing holdings in AT&T (T) stock. I also got rid of a few stocks that no longer meet our original criteria for investing in them. We sold out Helmerich & Payne (HP) and Oxydental Petroleum (OXY). The companies stopped growing their dividends and cut them significantly. We just held them in our portfolio for a better exit time. As oil rallied, these stocks increased in price and we could sell them break even. We kept all the dividends we ever received, though. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value increased from $41,602.80 to $44,923.51.

 
Stock holdings week 13
 

Last week, we received $93.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings. It was low as we traded for only two days in the last week of March. We just adjusted a few trades only. Also, on the first day of April (Thursday only, as on Friday, April 2nd, the markets were closed for Good Friday) we generated a small loss. In fact, it was not a loss but closing some positions (we closed a call spread against BABA and TSLA), so our credit premium was in March but closing debit already got in April (as I keep this track based on CASH accounting standard). For the entire March 2021, we received $5,258.00 premiums, and all our income was reinvested.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

We only adjusted a few new trades last week. The BP reduction increased from $36,124.40 to $37,123.70, a reduction of +$999.30 or +2.77%. This increase was just a volatility fluctuation.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 12.79% monthly ROI, totaling a 34.89% ROI.

Our account increased to 99.85% YTD growth. We are about to double our money in the next month if this trend continues.
 

Our options trading averaged $3,586.00 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $43,032.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side to close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

Last week I kept accumulating TSLA stock right before it started moving up again. Now we are sitting on a nice gain just a few days after our investment. We however limit our growth stocks holdings to 10% of our portfolio. Currently, we are at 15% and that means that next week or in the upcoming weeks, I will not be adding more shares (unless Tesla tanks so much that it would be a steal to invest).

I also kept accumulating Apple (AAPL) as the stock was displaying weakness. However, it looks like that the weakness in the tech stocks ended last week and these companies are in favor again and rallying. If so, it will be difficult to buy cheap (although, AAPL is not cheap even at this “cheap” level). AAPL is a dividend stock and part of my dividend growth investing strategy and I will keep accumulating this stock.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. I continued accumulating Realty Income (O) this week and as of today, we hold 55 shares.

We also accumulated ABBV and AES stocks and we hold 13 and 70 shares respectively.

We also plan on adding Eaton Vance Municipal Income Trust (EVN), PIMCO Municipal Income Fund III (PMX), and Eaton Vance Municipal Bond Fund (EIM) stocks. The reason for that is that although not dividend growth stocks, they pay a relatively good dividend, they pay consistently, and that are tax free.

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks but also create a weekly dividend income from these stocks All it takes to create a weekly dividend income is to buy 12 stocks to spread the income for every week. I created this dividend calendar and track the stocks I want to buy to get this goal done fast.
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

As you can see in the table above, we are reaching our weekly dividend income goal as almost all weeks are filled with dividend income. All that is missing is February and March first week “slot” (and subsequent months) but others are already filled. April should deliver an income every week. After we add all weeks, we will start increasing shares so the income is larger and larger every week. Also, note that I have included holdings of 100 shares in this table only. So, for example, we own 17 shares of AAPL and therefore it is not yet included in this table although we will receive income next month.

 

Market Outlook

 

Last week, I mentioned that the market was creating two significant patterns pointing to a potential rally up if these patterns play out. At first, the market had some struggle to break up and fulfill the patterns but then it spiked up on a strong note. Now we have the pattern completed and I expect it to continue.

 
SPX April 02 2021 outlook
 

Our expected price target is now at $4,200 for SPX. It is a measured move from the bottom of a cup (see the lower arrow) projected to the top of the breakout (see the second higher located arrow). I can’t predict whether this happens and if it happens, how long will it take to get there. It may be a strong narrow rally or a choppy painful move. We have to wait to see.

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own (stock we do not yet own but we started trading options against them, see a book “Generate Thousands in Cash on your Stocks Before Buying or Selling Them“). I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), covers our call sides of each trade, and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

We added a few new trades to our portfolio and we are close to having our trading “full”, or be fully invested. Once that happens, we will start trading multiple contracts. As of now, we mostly trade one contract of strangles. I am still thinking about building a ladder using LEAPS against SPY and AAPL as of now but not yet decided.

 

Investing and trading report in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 13
 

Our aggressive accumulation of dividend stocks, using proceeds from aggressive options trading (by “aggressive” I do not mean reckless, but using all available funds and be fully invested at all times), is delivering fruits. Our net liquidation value increased significantly this year. I expect this trend to continue. I am also preparing our account for portfolio margin and once we achieve the required net-liq value, I will add this feature to our account. I hope to be able to trade a bit more aggressively. And yes, I am aware of potential risks.

TW Account holdings week 13
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 7.99%. With options, our holdings are up 14.05% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 38.96% since inception. Since the inception of the fund, our stock holdings underperform the overall market (up only 14.05% on a cumulative basis). This week, our adjusted stock holdings underperformed the market. The market gained 9.12% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 7.07% YTD (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

The stock holdings growth dropped because we added many new positions and these positions didn’t have time to grow yet, so I expect the growth trend to improve over time and beat the market.

 
TW Options Income week 13
 

TW Options Annual Income week 13
 

 

Our dividend goal and future dividends

 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 12
 

I have added another view into our holdings and their expected performance. Below is a chart of all future expected dividends on our holdings. The chart above indicates our dividend goal rather than expected dividends, the new chart below indicates our holdings and their dividend payouts vs. received payouts. In other words, these are the dividends we should receive if we held these positions at the current level since January 1st. But because we have not held those positions since January, we will not be able to receive those dividends. We added new positions just recently so all dividends that are included in the “projected” value were not paid to us. But, if we stop investing now, the “projected” dividend value (currently $1,866.22) is the annual dividend rate we should be receiving as passive income every year without touching anything in our portfolio.
 

TW Received vs Future Dividends week 13

 

Our account cumulative return

 

This is another metric I started tracking (since March 13, 2021) recently. I subscribed to Wingman tracking software (I am on a trial now and not yet fully decided whether to keep it or not). And that helps to track the open positions and account balances without the hassle of doing it manually. I will see if I am happy with the result of the subscription or not.
 

TW cumulative return wk 13
 

As of today, our account cumulative return is 13.33% (since March 13, 2021).

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was great and we created a lot of income making March our best month so far.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin March 27, 2021
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2021 Week 12 investing and trading report


March 2021 is almost over, we have three trading days left and the month can be closed in the books. It is Saturday, and time to provide our weekly investing and trading report. This week was slow and I thought it would end the entire month weak and with very little income compared to January and February. Yet, this month is about to end as one of the best. Our income exceeded $5,000 and we reinvested the income for future growth. And I am optimistic about the future growth despite the weak market and a lot of pessimism and crash expectations. If the market keeps being weak or even crashes, I have enough cash in reserves to be buying cheap stocks.

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $39,713.98 +$5,685.13 +16.71%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $2,707.00    
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%  
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%  
03 March 2021 Options: $5,165.00 +13.01%  
Options Premiums YTD: $14,258.00 +35.90%  
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $5.84    
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04    
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00    
03 March 2021 Dividends: $20.39    
Dividends YTD: $136.43    
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 4.03%    
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 8.10%    
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $5,771.29 14.88%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $41,732.60 107.59%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $169,690.73 437.47%  
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $1,048,060.01 2,701.97%  
Portfolio Alpha: 28.43%    
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.72    
CAGR: 759.68%    
AROC: 28.61%    
TROC: 27.60%    
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 12.73%  
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 93.79%  

 

The dividend growth and yield on cost growth are impressive over time. The numbers in the table above indicate how great passive income this portfolio will deliver in the next 20 years. And in the next 30 years, this portfolio will deliver over a million dollars annually in dividend income. That is a state of this portfolio as of today, given that we will do nothing from now on. But we will keep investing, accumulating, and monetizing our portfolio.

The future and the prospect of future dividend income are bright. Yet building such a portfolio is a slow and somewhat painful process. It takes time. If you look at the current dividend income, it looks pitiful and laughable. I just accumulated several positions such as AFL, QYLD, ASG, CHI and reached 100 shares in each of the companies; I also raised positions in Realty Income (O) and ABBV and all I have received is $20 bucks in dividends? What a joke!

Yes, it looks pitiful but the benefit of accumulating these great stocks didn’t yet come to fruition. All we need is to wait for the next dividend cycle to reap the juicy dividends. Dividend growth investing needs and takes time. It is not a quick-rich scheme. And many people these days are not willing to give their investments time. They want 1000% in a week returns. That’s why they invest in scams like bitcoin, or high-flying SPACs many of which will go belly up at some point in the future. Just look at NNDM. People were in frenzy buying the stock because ARKinvest was buying. The stock traded at almost $20 a share. Today, it is back down at $8.75 a share.

Last week, we received $2,707.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings. We opened new trades and accumulated new stock holdings to reach 100 shares of each. I am happy with our achievements this week. For the entire March 2021, we received $5,165.00 premiums. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value increased from $33,327.00 to $41,602.80. All our income was reinvested.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

We opened a few new trades that helped us to boost March 2021 premium income but it also significantly increased our buying power (BP) reduction. The BP reduction decreased from $27,393.00 to $36,124.40, a reduction of +$8,731.40 adding new trades. That represents an increase of 31.87%. This also helped to increase our net-liquidating value last week.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 13.01% monthly ROI, totaling a 35.90% ROI.

Our account increased to 93.05% YTD growth. We are happy with this result because that means we are on the path of doubling our account in three months. Something nice to brag about on social media.
 

Our options trading averaged $4,752.67 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $57,032.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side to close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

This week I took advantage of the weak stock market and selloff of the tech stocks. Many people panic and see the end of the world but I welcome this weakness. Last week, I twisted my arm and started buying Tesla (TSLA) and the more this stock shows weakness, the more I accumulate. I still feel a bit nervous about this stock but I also do a lot of reading about the company and I am more and more convinced that this stock is the sustainable long run. It resembles Amazon (AMZN) that was unprofitable for years because it was reinvesting all its revenue back to the company’s growth. TSLA seems to be doing the same and reinvesting their revenues to the new venues and new industries development. It will pay off one day.

I also kept accumulating Apple (AAPL) as the stock is displaying weakness. I despise this selling based on short-sighted predictions of the market participants who believe that the company will suffer next month. But I do not buy these companies for the next month’s time horizon. I buy because I want to hold that company for years to come. So when these predictors are in a heart attack-like panic and sell, I buy.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. A week ago, we started accumulating Aflac (AFL) stock to reach 100 shares. As of today, we finished that goal and own 100 shares.

We also added 100 shares of Calamos Convertible Opportunities and Income Fund (CHI) to our portfolio. This stock is not necessarily a dividend growth stock. It is a high-yield dividend closed-end fund that pays dividends monthly. We may remove the stock from our portfolio if it no longer follows our criteria.

We finished accumulating 100 shares of Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF (QYLD) last week. This also is not a dividend growth stock. It is a high-yield dividend closed-end fund that pays dividends monthly. We may also remove the stock from our portfolio if it no longer follows our criteria.

We proceeded to accumulate Realty Income (O), Abbvie (ABBV), and AES Corporation (AES). We started accumulating AES earlier but reached only about 10 shares. We will now proceed to reach 100 shares.

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks but also create a weekly dividend income from these stocks All it takes to create a weekly dividend income is to buy 12 stocks to spread the income for every week. I created this dividend calendar and track the stocks I want to buy to get this goal done fast.
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

As you can see in the table above, we are reaching our goal of weekly dividend income as almost all weeks are filled with dividend income. All that is missing is February and March first week “slot” (and subsequent months) but others are already filled. April should deliver an income every week. After we add all weeks, we will start increasing shares so the income is larger and larger every week. Also, note that I have included holdings of 100 shares in this table only. So, for example, we own 15 shares of AAPL and therefore it is not yet included in this table although we will receive income next month.

 

Market Outlook

 

As I mentioned above, the stock market displays weakness. We reached ATH (all-time high) and then sold off more than 5%. We recovered that correction, reach the previous ATH, and sold off again although not that deep as before. Last Friday made the market a strong rally (which I believe will continue into the next week). But this behavior started to picturing nice, bullish patterns:

 
SPX March 27 2021 outlook
 

The market attempted to break the resistance three times. Normally, that is a good sign. The more often the market tries to break, the more likely it WILL break it. Despite people saying that we are on top and the market is about to crash, this is not the case. Reversals, do not work this way. There is a high chance now that the market breaks this resistance and moves higher. Will it happen next week? Possibly. If not, it still will be good for this market. Why?

The longer the market goes sideways, the better. In the last few years, we had a nice bullish run but no consolidation. We need to consolidate gains in order to call this bull market healthy. So in fact, I would prefer Friday’s rally to fail, turn down again, and drop back to $3720-ish level. The longer the market consolidates, the stronger the subsequent rally will be. We are in about a month-long consolidation now. That is good. If we break the resistance and confirm the breakout, expect a strong, month-long rally. Or similar. This is not an exact science.

We also formed a picture-perfect cup and handle pattern. Some say, this no longer works. Maybe. But there are still a lot of people who preach and trade CANSLIM strategy. This may spark their interest (unless they are all on Reddit chasing stocks like GME.

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), covers our call sides of each trade, and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

We added a few new trades to our portfolio and we are close to having our trading “full”, or be fully invested. Once that happens, we will start adding multiple positions. As of now, we mostly trade one contract of strangles. We may start scaling up and start adding two contracts. I was also thinking of creating a put ladder. I tried to build the ladder a few times in the past, but mostly failed. One reason was that back then I didn’t have enough capital to do a ladder and also enough cash in reserves for adjustments or purchases of the underlying stock should the puts get assigned (if you do not have enough money, the losses can be catastrophic). We are in a very different situation today and we may start building a ladder.

One idea of a ladder can be using SPY LEAPS and selling in the money puts. This can be extremely profitable trading but also heavy in capital requirements:

 
SPY LEAPS ladder
 

As you can see, this trade would require $8,139.81 buying power. With approximately 30 expiration periods for SPY, this would require a free capital of $244,170 for buying power reduction (unless we reach the level when we can apply for portfolio margin and drop the capital requirements to approximately $40,695 and that is a lot more favorable. It is very intriguing.

 

Investing and trading report in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 12
 

Our aggressive accumulation of dividend stocks, using proceeds from aggressive options trading (by “aggressive” I do not mean reckless, but using all available funds and be fully invested at all times), is delivering fruits. Our net liquidation value increased significantly this year. I expect this trend to continue.

TW Account holdings week 12
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 7.25%. With options, our holdings are up 13.23% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 37.40% since inception. Our stock holdings underperform the overall market since the inception of the fund (up only 13.23% on a cumulative basis). This week, our adjusted stock holdings underperformed the market. The market gained 7.55% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 6.25% YTD (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

The stock holdings growth dropped because we added many new positions and these positions didn’t have time to grow yet, so I expect the growth trend to improve over time and beat the market.

 
TW Options Income week 12
 

TW Options Annual Income week 12
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 12

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was great and we created a lot of income making March our best month so far. I expect some consolidation next week and light trading. I might be adjusting open trades only.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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Posted by Martin March 20, 2021
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2021 Week 11 investing and trading report


Another week is over and I am providing my weekly investing and trading report. The last week was weak and we are on track to have the entire month underperforming. Our net liquidation value grew, but overall, the growth was small (only 7% compared to 23% and 25% in January and February – month over month growth). Let’s review how we did last week.

 

Here is our investing and trading report:

 

Account Value: $34,028.85 +$3,381.36 +11.03%
Options trading results
Options Premiums Received: $340.00
01 January 2021 Options: $4,209.00 +16.65%
02 February 2021 Options: $4,884.00 +15.41%
03 March 2021 Options: $2,458.00 +7.22%
Options Premiums YTD: $11,551.00 +33.94%
Dividend income results
Dividends Received: $2.91
01 January 2021 Dividends: $53.04
02 February 2021 Dividends: $63.00
03 March 2021 Dividends: $14.55
Dividends YTD: $130.59
Portfolio metrics
Portfolio Yield: 3.71%
Portfolio Dividend Growth: 7.73%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 10 yrs: $3,877.00 12.60%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 20 yrs: $23,504.42 76.40%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 25 yrs: $82,046.63 266.70%
Ann. Div Income & YOC in 30 yrs: $406,504.59 1321.40%
Portfolio Alpha: 27.47%
Portfolio Weighted Beta: 0.60
CAGR: 711.46%
AROC: 27.43%
TROC: 21.38%
Our 2021 Goal
2021 Dividend Goal: $1,071.42 12.19%
2021 Portfolio Value Goal: $42,344.06 80.36%

 

Last week, we received $340.00 in premiums trading options against our holdings. We opened one new trade against Realty Income (O) but the rest of the trades were adjustments only. For the entire March 2021, we received $2,458.00 premiums. Our non-adjusted stock holdings market value increased from $28,642.83 to $33,327.00. All our income was kept in cash.
 

Open trades

 
Investing and trading report
 

The table above shows all our open trades and expirations. It is just a simplified tracking and buying power reduction. Our goal is to trade a set amount of equity strangles in what I call perpetual strangle trading. It is nothing fancy. I just have a list of equities I like to trade options around them, I like to eventually own and I accumulate these stocks. Once a trade expires (or nears expiration) I re-open the trade or roll it into the next expiration (mostly trades that a stock is near the short strike and there is a risk of getting in the money).

Although, we have not opened any new trades we experienced a significant jump in buying power reduction. The BP reduction decreased from $28,780.90 to $27,393.00, a reduction of -$1,387.90 as some of our open trades expired. That represents a reduction of 4.82%. This helped to increase our net-liquidating value last week.

 

Investing and trading ROI

 

Our options trading delivered a 7.22% monthly ROI, totaling a 33.94% ROI.

Our account increased to 65.41% YTD growth. We are happy with this result.
 

Our options trading averaged $3,850.33 per month this year. If this trend continues, we are on track to make $46,204.00 trading options in 2021.
 

We are still on track to complete goals in our portfolio. We made slight adjustments and we are providing our comments to our goals and tasks we set up in the week 6 report:
 

Old SPX trades repair

 

This week we have not done any adjustments to our old SPX trades. We are still sitting on those trades and waiting for the untouched side close so we can roll the trades again. The goal will be to roll the trades until we will be able to close them for at least break even and release the buying power. We will keep doing this only if the resulting trade will be a credit trade or a very small debit. If adjusting these trades would require adding more new money, we would rather close these trades and move on.

 

Accumulating Growth Stocks

 

This week I gave in and bought Tesla (TSLA). Yes, you may be surprised but I bought a share and I might be adding more shares of this company. I was never a fan of Tesla and considered it a bad company that is just in a bubble and hyped to levels not justifying its valuation. It doesn’t make money, it has no revenue and it makes expensive cars on a very small scale compared to other automakers. Without government subsidies, far fewer people would buy a Tesla car.

But there was something that changed my mind and I didn’t see or refused to see.

When Tesla came out many years ago, my first thought was that it wouldn’t be able to survive. Elon was just a schmuck who would not be able to compete with big automakers. I was wrong. Not only he did make it, but he also forced the entire car industry to follow him. They didn’t steamroll him. He steamrolled them. Without his leadership, there would be no electric vehicles, and no big car maker would ever consider even thinking about them.

But I must admit I refused to look beyond car making division of Tesla. And Tesla is not just about cars. Tesla is a tech company. Tesla took leadership in electric vehicles and now taking leadership in AI and their autonomous driving. Again, I thought, that this would be something big automakers would do and develop on their own. But they didn’t. Elon Musk, again, took the lead and forced the industry to start looking at yet another feature they never dreamed of (only in 1950’s comics books).

Next, Elon Musk started developing batteries for his cars and the entire industry is waking up and starts thinking about how to copy him without infringement. And Tesla has the lead once again.

Tesla started looking at solar panels. And developed panels that are 40% more efficient than those we see today and Tesla is testing solar roofs when no one was seriously thinking about it (I was once thinking why no one is developing it and why you have to have a roof and on top of it install the PVs, why not have the roof as a PV? And just today, I watched a video that Tesla is in fact developing the roof PVs). Speaking of PVs, my other thought was why Tesla cars do not have a PV panel integrated into the roof of the car and be able to charge using solar energy when driving or just parking in front of a shopping mall. I guess the issue is with the equipment you need to transform the energy, standardize frequency, and store it into the batteries. I guess the equipment is still too large to have the car towing a transformer station behind it. But who knows, maybe Elon is already working on it.

I am still uneasy about this stock and hesitant to be buying it. But I missed Amazon before when I could buy it for $360 a share. I missed Apple when I could buy it for $60 a share. And since Tesla still has a good price appreciation in the future, I think, I shouldn’t be missing this boat either, although I have missed a significant portion of that boat already.

 

Accumulating Dividend Growth Stocks

 

Buying high-quality dividend stocks is our core strategy in our fund. And we will continue to do so and at a faster pace. Last week, we started accumulating Aflac (AFL) stock to reach 100 shares. As of today, we own 80 shares.

We also added 100 shares of Liberty All-Star Growth Fund, Inc. (ASG) to our portfolio. This stock is not necessarily a dividend growth stock. It is a speculative, high yield dividend stock and we may remove the stock from our portfolio if it no longer follows our criteria.

We want to accumulate 100 shares of each stock in our watchlist or list of stocks we want to own. This lot of shares is not, however, the end number. Once we are fully invested (own all stocks we want to own), then we will start adding on top of those 100 shares.

Our goal is to not only reach 100 shares of high-quality dividend stocks but also create a weekly dividend income from these stocks All it takes to create a weekly dividend income is to buy 12 stocks to spread the income for every week. I created this dividend calendar and track the stocks I want to buy to get this goal done fast.
 

Weekly dividends income calendar
 

We are also interested in adding some high-yield, yet still safe, dividend earners to further boost our dividend income. I found a few good stocks and closed-end funds, candidates I believe are worth accumulating. Every month I will be posting these stocks, accumulation progress, or stock removal from the portfolio. These stocks or funds may be riskier than the aristocrats and I plan on monitoring them carefully. When the stocks no longer meet my criteria and/or underperform, I will remove them from our portfolio. My first list for March accumulation can be found here.

 

Market Outlook

 

Although the stock market recovered its 5% correction and reached a new ATH (all-time high) it couldn’t hold the new highs and sustain the rally. On Thursday and Friday, the market dropped again as the new euphoria from the FED meeting faded away.

However, if you know the market history and look at the past behavior, such choppiness is normal. It doesn’t predict that we are going to crash from here, nor it doesn’t predict that we are about to skyrocket again. From the historical perspective and past performance, this market can drop to $3,700 and it still will be a normal performance in the given historical perspective. Similar behavior occurred in 1982 and 2010. In both instances, the market posted a significant correction of 14% before renewed rally moved the market back to nice gains (if you had a stomach to stay invested).

 
SPX March 20 2021 outlook
 

I still expect an additional 15% to 75% gains in the next one to five-year time horizon even if we dip lower from here (which I do not expect but it may happen). If we dip to $3,700 it will be a great buying opportunity.

 

Trading options

 

We continue trading options around the stocks we own or plan to own. I call it monetizing our positions. It has a threefold benefit. It lowers our cost basis (at some point we will own all our shares for free), covers our call sides of each trade, and generates an additional income on top of the dividends. And that income is significant as you can see from our report at the top of this post.

 

Investing and trading report in charts

 

TW Account Net-Liq week 10
 

TW Account holdings week 11
 

The table above shows our current holdings and gains on those holdings. Adjusted columns indicate how options help to boost (or ruin) our stock holdings appreciation, or in other words, lowering the cost basis. Without options, our holdings would be up 8.33%. With options, our holdings are up 14.85% (from inception on 4/1/2019). The SPX is up 35.27% since inception. Our stock holdings underperform the overall market since the inception of the fund (up only 14.85% on a cumulative basis). However, this week, our adjusted stock holdings significantly beat the market. The market gained 5.43% YTD, our portfolio options-adjusted stock holdings grew by 7.87% YTD (note this includes stock holdings adjusted by options trading, not the entire portfolio).
 

TW Account holdings Growth YTD
 

TW Options Income week 11
 

TW Options Annual Income week 11
 

TW Received vs Projected Dividends week 11

 

Conclusion of our investing and trading report

 

This week our options trading was weak and as we laid it out in our previous report we were primarily adjusting our trades and opened only very few new trades. Next week, we may reopen trades that expired last Friday.

We will continue accumulating the dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to reach 100 shares. We will also replenish our cash reserves to bring them back to 25% of our current net-liq value.

We will report our next week’s results next Saturday. Until then, good luck and good trading!




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