No new trades available

March 8th, 2010

On Saturday I calculated my total portfolio risk based on my adjusted rules:

  • trade must be larger than $800 to lower the cost ratio when buying stocks
  • existing positions must be positive
  • or the total current risk exposure to stop loss must be less than 3%
  • or the total liquidation value of the portfolio must be larger than $2,000

Based on this I could open a new position without risking too much if all open trades turn against me. Previously I calculated the above conditions wrong and when all trades turned against me in January 2010 I lost almost 21% of my portfolio. With these new rules I shouldn’t lose so much anymore.

When calculating new risk I am looking at what my portfolio will look like WITH the new position if all turns against me.

Based on those rules I evaluated the following stocks:

AKAM, BRCM, CPO, HGR, MWIV, OTEX, PTNR, THS,

From the stocks above only Open Text Corp. (OTEX) was barely able to pass my further scanning and meeting criteria. It scored as a moderate buy candidate, creating new highs, however it didn’t pass my other criteria. By buying this stock at this time would increase the risk of my portfolio to almost 6% and drop my total value below $2,000. I decided not to buy at this time and stay aside unless a new candidate shows up. I also will need to save and deposit more money to allow new purchases.

Picks 03/01 - 03/05

March 6th, 2010

Trading Account:

New stock picks this week:

Stocks bought or added to portfolio this week:
none

Stocks dropped from portfolio this week:
none

Existing & new holdings:
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Stop ATR Risk to
stop (%)
V 10 88.51 up 40.10 4.75 83.35 1.2900 -1.36

Contribution this week: $0

Current capital exposure: -2.50%     Learn more

New positions available to open: 1     Learn more

Starting account value = $2,035.22

Account value = $2,067.57 up (without margin)

Buying power = $5,972.50

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = 1.59%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for MARCH 2010 = 1.59%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = -18.34%

Annual Return (CAGR): -26.09%

It looks like we are back on track and market is rallying again. Also my current holding of Visa (V) moved higher and ATR dropped down a bit, which raised my stop stop loss order from $80 to $83.35 and that lowered my total risk to a level where I can add another stock into the portfolio. So tomorrow I will check my watch list to pick up the best candidate for buying and I will run my loss control calculations to see how many shares I will be allowed to buy.

 
 

aboutthisboy.com

ROTH IRA Account:

New stock picks this week:

none

Existing & new holdings:

NTF Mutual Funds
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Port.
(%)
AIGYX 83.472 12.93 up 79.30 7.93 7.89 32
ATIPX 106.395 9.04 up 21.63 2.30 7.28 29
HISIX 26.918 7.08 up -9.42 -4.71 4.56 6
SICNX 41.062 7.28 up -1.07 -0.36 4.97 9
SWDSX 40.856 12.02 up 23.84 5.25 4.00 15
SWLSX 29.814 10.04 up 22.06 8.20 1.63 9
Individual ETFs
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
IGD 29.0 12.52 up 4.35 1.22 12.07 100
Individual stocks
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
Account target and current allocation
Individual stocks 0 42% 0%
NTF Mutual funds 3,321.04 38% 86%
ETFs 363.08 20% 9%

Contribution this week: $0

Starting account value = $3,750.42

Account value = $3,842.70 up

Dividends received in 2010 = $24.07

Portfolio dividends yield 2010 = 0.63%

Portfolio dividends yield lifetime = 2.82%

Dividends received lifetime = $108.19

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = 2.46%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for MARCH 2010 = 2.46%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = 2.73%

Annual Return (CAGR): -5.01%

Portfolio Return since inception: -15.08%


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Picks 02/22 - 02/26

February 27th, 2010

Trading Account:

New stock picks this week:

Stocks bought or added to portfolio this week:
none

Stocks dropped from portfolio this week:
none

Existing & new holdings:

Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%)
V 10 85.28 7.80 0.92

Contribution this week: $0

Current capital exposure: -2.59%     Learn more

New positions available to open: 1     Learn more

Starting account value = $2,050.49

Account value = $2,035.22 (without margin)

Buying power = $5,930.10

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = -0.74%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for FEBRUARY 2010 = -0.10%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = -19.62%

Annual Return (CAGR): -27.10%

The stock market didn’t sustain its correction recovery and it seems to be continuing in its downtrend. At least the last week trading didn’t show any momentum or strength needed for further growth. That means I am staying most likely aside, waiting and considering the market in correction. This is why I changed the status from “Rally attempt” back to “Correction”.

Because of the continuing correction, I was thinking about withdrawing money from the account and relocating into a savings account, which will earn better interest than my broker’s account. I do not have much to say about the market and my trading account except that I will be waiting for some strength in the market before I buy new positions. However, before buying I still have to wait for the existing position to show gain or very little loss. If the market will go side way I was thinking to buy an ETF paying monthly dividend, such as Alpine Total Dynamic Dividend F (AOD), to park my money in it. But I was thinking that it would take about 4 months to offset the commissions and if the market goes down I may see some loss on top of the commissions, which will force me to keep the ETF for longer time (maybe waiting for its recovery and dividend gain). I do not know yet, which direction I will go. I will be thinking about this before I make a decision.

 
 

aboutthisboy.com

ROTH IRA Account:

New stock picks this week:

Bought 7.052 SICNX @ 7.09

Existing & new holdings:

NTF Mutual Funds
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Port.
(%)
AIGYX 83.472 12.44 38.40 3.84 7.89 32
ATIPX 106.395 8.98 15.25 1.62 7.28 30
HISIX 26.918 6.86 -15.34 -7.67 4.56 6
SICNX 41.062 7.02 -11.74 -3.91 4.97 9
SWDSX 40.856 11.70 23.84 5.25 4.00 15
SWLSX 29.814 9.76 22.06 8.20 1.63 9
Individual ETFs
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
IGD 29.0 12.45 4.35 1.22 12.06 100
Individual stocks
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
Account target and current allocation
Individual stocks 0 42% 0%
NTF Mutual funds 3,235.73 38% 86%
ETFs 361.05 20% 10%

Contribution this week: $50

Starting account value = $3,724.98

Account value = $3,750.42

Dividends received in 2010 = $19.12

Portfolio dividends yield 2010 = 0.51%

Dividends received lifetime = $103.24

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = 0.68%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for FEBRUARY 2010 = 2.46%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = 0.26%

Annual Return (CAGR): -5.77%

Portfolio Return since inception: -17.12%

Today I filed my taxes and realized I would have about $2,500 tax refund, which I haven’t expected, since I have increased my number of dependents and I was expecting no refund or very little. But thanks my mortgage payments I received a lot of credits and have such refund. I will invest $2,000 and use $500 to pay down some of my credit cards debt.
Based on my investing rules I can open a new position in individual stocks or ETFs if the position size can be min. $2,000. There fore I will open a new position in ETF paying monthly dividends. It will be Alpine Total Dynamic Dividend F (AOD). Current dividend yield is 17.06% and it is paid monthly. This will be my first step towards accomplishing my target allocation of my ROTH IRA portfolio. All dividends will be reinvested. I still am saving for Northern Global Fixed Income (NOIFX) and Alpine Dynamic Dividend (ADVDX) mutual funds which are my last funds to be added into the portfolio and then I will be accumulating only.
After I save $30,000 in mutual funds I will sell $16,000 and buy individual stocks or ETFs, while continuing accumulating in the mutual funds back to $30k amount.

So far I have accumulated $3,235.73 in mutual funds (10.97%). The further allocation plan is investing into max. 20 positions of individual stocks - 7 positions of high yield monthly dividends paying ETFs (5 or 6 riskier positions and 1 or 2 in index ETFs) and 13 positions of individual dividend paying stocks. After the number of positions is filled as well as percentage allocation, I will continue accumulating into the same, existing stocks and ETFs, however still based on the rule of minimum trade amount of $2,000 to keep my trading costs as low as possible. However, before I will have enough accumulated in my account to start buying my stocks and ETFs positions I still need to learn more about investing into dividend paying stocks.

After one or more of my stock positions reach min. 500 shares in each position, I plan on trading options (write calls only) to boost my revenues. I practiced writing calls a bit in my paper trading account, so I know a bit about options trading. However, before this happens, once again I will be learning more about it.


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Picks 02/15 - 02/19

February 21st, 2010

Trading Account:

New stock picks this week:

Stocks bought or added to portfolio this week:
none

Stocks dropped from portfolio this week:
none

Existing & new holdings:

Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%)
V 10 86.81 23.10 2.73

Contribution this week: $0

Current capital exposure: -3.32%     Learn more

New positions available to open: 1     Learn more

Starting account value = $2,030.15

Account value = $2,050.49 (without margin)

Buying power = $5,966.87

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = 1.00%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for FEBRUARY 2010 = 0.65%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = -19.02%

Annual Return (CAGR): -26.99%

I adjusted my trading rules so I do not buy new positions until the loss exposure gets into the positive territory. The total capital exposure is now calculated based on liquidation value at the stop loss, not the current value as I had that originally.
I believe, this will allow me better managing the portfolio during sell offs.
I am quite busy these days, so I won’t be writing much about my trading, however I will still be showing my trading records.

 
 

aboutthisboy.com

ROTH IRA Account:

New stock picks this week:

none

Existing & new holdings:

NTF Mutual Funds
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Port.
(%)
AIGYX 83.472 12.21 19.20 1.92 7.89 32
ATIPX 106.395 8.96 13.12 1.40 7.28 30
HISIX 26.918 6.85 -15.61 -7.81 4.56 6
SICNX 34.010 7.05 -10.23 -4.09 4.97 8
SWDSX 40.856 11.74 25.48 5.618 4.00 15
SWLSX 29.814 9.72 20.87 7.76 1.63 9
Individual ETFs
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
IGD 29.0 12.25 -1.45 -0.41 12.29 100
Individual stocks
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
Account target and current allocation
Individual stocks 0 42% 0%
NTF Mutual funds 3,166.09 38% 86%
ETFs 355.25 20% 10%

Contribution this week: $0

Starting account value = $3,572.27

Account value = $3,674.98

Dividends received in 2010 = $19.12

Portfolio dividends yield 2010 = 0.52%

Dividends received lifetime = $103.24

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = 2.88%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for FEBRUARY 2010 = 1.79%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = -0.43%

Annual Return (CAGR): -6.08%

Portfolio Return since inception: -17.88%

My mutual funds are now at the target allocation. At least those funds I already have purchased. I need to buy two more funds and start investing into them to get my mutual funds into balance with my target. I am thinking about buying NOIFX a foreign corporate bonds fund and ADVDX a dividend equity fund. Both funds require an initial investment which I need to save first. Since my broker doesn’t offer better interest than my savings account I will be saving for the initial investment in my savings account. After these funds will have been purchased I will start accumulating along with my plan into mutual funds and then I will start buying individual stocks and ETFs.


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Picks 02/08 - 02/12

February 14th, 2010

Trading Account:

New stock picks this week:

Stocks bought or added to portfolio this week:
Bought 10 V @ 84.5

Stocks dropped from portfolio this week:
none

Existing & new holdings:

Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%)
V 10 84.78 2.80 0.33

Contribution this week: $0

Current capital exposure: -2.71%     Learn more

New positions available to open: 1     Learn more

Starting account value = $2,037.17

Account value = $2,030.15 (without margin)

Buying power = $5,919.37

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = -0.34%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for FEBRUARY 2010 = -0.34%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = -19.82%

Annual Return (CAGR): -27.75%

 
 

aboutthisboy.com

ROTH IRA Account:

New stock picks this week:

Bought 4.472 SWDSX @ 11.18

Existing & new holdings:

NTF Mutual Funds
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Port.
(%)
AIGYX 83.472 11.65 -27.55 -2.75 7.89 32
ATIPX 106.395 8.85 1.42 0.15 7.28 31
HISIX 26.918 6.74 -18.57 -9.29 4.56 6
SICNX 34.010 6.93 -14.31 -5.72 4.97 8
SWDSX 40.856 11.37 10.36 2.28 4.00 15
SWLSX 29.814 9.44 12.52 4.66 1.63 9
Individual ETFs
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
IGD 29.0 11.78 -15.20 -4.26 12.77 100
Individual stocks
Symbol Qty Last Gain($) Gain(%) Div.
Y(%)
Portfolio
(%)
Account target and current allocation
Individual stocks 0 42% 0%
NTF Mutual funds 3,077.14 38% 86%
ETFs 341.50 20% 10%

Contribution this week: $150

Starting account value = $3,561.68

Account value = $3,572.27

Dividends received in 2010 = $15.49

Portfolio dividends yield 2010 = 0.45%

Dividends received lifetime = $99.61

Portfolio Gain/loss this week = 0.30%

Portfolio Gain/Loss for FEBRUARY 2010 = -1.05%

Portfolio Gain/loss for 2010 = -3.21%

Annual Return (CAGR): -6.96%

Portfolio Return since inception: -20.17%


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