Posted by Martin April 16, 2018
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Syria not an issue anymore (hopefully), now let’s earnings move the market


S&P 500  2,677.84 +21.54 (+0.81%)  Dow 30  24,573.04 +212.90 (+0.87%)  Nasdaq  7,156.28 +49.63 (+0.70%)
 

Bright FutureInvestors and traders were afraid of what the stock market would do over the weekend due to an air strike in Syria. Myself included. I too was worried about the reaction on Monday. But there was no impact. The air strike ended on Saturday evening and as Trump said: “Mission accomplished” (we have heard this about Iraq once); the markets actually rallied. The S&P 500 futures opened more than 15 points up on Sunday and the market ended Monday trading 21 points up. Is there anything else coming on us we should be worried? I hope not. And if we are good now, no more Trump’s political escapades, no more wars, no other issues, then it will only be earnings season determining the next move. The banking earnings started lukewarm on Friday last week but today a few companies, reported good earnings. I hope this will continue and prop the market.

 
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Posted by Martin April 14, 2018
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Weekly results April 14, 2018


S&P 500  2,656.30 -7.69 (-0.29%)  Dow 30  24,360.14 -122.91 (-0.50%)  Nasdaq  7,106.65 -33.60 (-0.47%)
 

Bombing SyriaThe second week of April was better and provided a good recovery from the lows. We brought in a nice income offsetting previous week loss. Our net liquidation value is still down due to open trades consuming it, although it recovered somewhat this week.

However, Trump’s administration keeps disrupting the markets and eventually the entire US economy. China and Europe is slowing down, the US economy too shows a slow down and the earnings season seems to started as not expected – some say badly. What impact is this going to have to the markets next week?

 
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Posted by Martin April 11, 2018
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Stock market consolidating for the next move


S&P 500  2,642.19 -14.68 (-0.55%)  Dow 30  24,189.45 -218.55 (-0.90%)  Nasdaq  7,069.03 -25.27 (-0.36%)
 

Sell BuyThe stock market went down today on a fear of the US going into an air strike against Syria. Trump tweeted about nice, new, and smart missiles coming to Syria and Russians if they keep supporting Syria. Again, Trump opened his big mouth and the market reacted on his blabbing. Not facts, just his tweets. However, it was surprising to see that investors and traders didn’t over react on those “news” and the market remained relatively calm. The loss was only about 5 points. Then FOMC meeting notes were released and the market slid almost 15 points. Overall, it was still a quiet day.

 
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Posted by Martin April 10, 2018
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We had a decent rally, what’s next?


S&P 500  2,656.87 +43.71 (+1.67%)  Dow 30  24,408.00 +428.90 (+1.79%)  Nasdaq  7,094.30 +143.96 (+2.07%)
 

Sell BuyMarket had a few days of relief rally. Is it going to be a bounce or is it going to continue higher? No one knows. Investors are rattled and panic on anything Trump does or does not. If it was not a trade war, it is his political extempore of his people leaving him or being fired, or bashing Amazon, or now possibly bombing Syria. Everything he does so far is just talks. Yet those talks move the markets. Ultimately, this volatility is good as that present a great opportunity to make money trading this market up or down. All it takes is to be on the right side of the market trend. What can we expect then?

 
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Posted by Martin April 09, 2018
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Markets up then down again and probably up again tomorrow


S&P 500  2,613.16 +8.69 (+0.33%)  Dow 30  23,979.10 +46.34 (+0.19%)  Nasdaq  6,950.34 +35.23 (+0.51%)
 

Sell BuyWe had an interesting trading day today. The markets eased up a bit after last week correction and renewed selling. The market rallied on no news but then, FBI raided Trump’s lawyer’s office and all ended again. All today’s gains were removed.

 
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Posted by Martin April 07, 2018
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Worst Tariffs Ever. Smoot-Hawley Tariff History And Why Tariffs Will Not Work.


Trump proposes tariffs… Trump’s supporters support it… all without thinking and both ignoring consequences. Trump and his supporters think that trade wars are easy, long overdue and that they can be easily won.

They cannot.

All involved will lose. And all will lose big.

 
0404trading
 

Learn how the Smoot-Hawley tariff act of 1930 helped tank the world economy. And why it means that today, 90 years later, President Trump has the power to start what many people say is a trade war.
 

Listen to the following podcast (source: Planet Money)
 


 

While the entire world moved away from tariffs since 1930, Drumpf, who is stuck in 1930 is returning back to it and is going for all Americans to repeat the history. You know, when you do not learn or forget history, you are doomed to repeat it. Brace yourself for a New Great Depression.
 




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Posted by Martin April 07, 2018
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Weekly results April 07, 2018


S&P 500  2,604.47 -58.37 (-2.19%)  Dow 30  23,932.76 -572.46 (-2.34%)  Nasdaq  6,915.11 -161.44 (-161.44)
 

Sell offAnother sell off in the markets based on fears from Drumpf damaging economy of the US by escalating the trade war, job report, inflation fear. But we may be bottoming. Although if we really are, the road to recovery still may be very bumpy.

The first week of April wasn’t as great as I would wish, we rolled a few trades and the overall trade balance was negative.

 
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Posted by Martin April 05, 2018
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Trump proving again he has no clue and he is mentally stuck in 1930


S&P 500  2,662.84 +18.15 (+0.69%)  Dow 30  24,505.22 +240.92 (+0.99%)  Nasdaq  7,076.55 +34.44 (+0.49%)
 

Baby TrumpThe market were finally on the path of recovery, the chart was clear, markets calm, shrugged the trade war, and going higher. Yesterday we saw dip buyers jumping in and buying cheap stocks recovering a market which was down 35 points finishing 35 points up.

It no longer matters as Trump announced new tariffs against China, this time on $100 billion of goods. It appears china hurt his little ego by “unfair retaliation”. evidently, this man is taking it personally, has no clue how trade wars usually end, and he is mentally stuck in 1930. His new tariffs are no longer a national interest issue saving or protecting Americans’ jobs but his personal vengeance.

 
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Posted by Martin April 04, 2018
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Stocks erased morning losses


S&P 500  2,644.69 +30.24 (+1.16%)  Dow 30  24,264.30 +230.94 (+0.96%)  Nasdaq  7,042.11 +100.83 (+1.45%)
 

Crazy Stock MarketToday, it definitely was a crazy market. A market I haven’t expected at all after China announced tariffs retaliation on the US goods worth $50 billion dollars.

By the morning bell the futures were down more than 34% at S&P and DOW was losing over 450 points. It all looked like that we would have yet another significant selloff. But something was different today.

Early in the morning I posted in our Facebook trading group that given the China’s retaliation the stock market was suspiciously calm. I recommended caution and not to trade aggressively. Well until the market started spiking aggressively up.

We recovered all morning losses.

 
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Posted by Martin April 03, 2018
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Reclaiming 200 DMA support


S&P 500  2,614.45 +32.57 (+1.26%)  Dow 30  24,033.36 +389.17 (+1.65%)  Nasdaq  6,941.28 +71.16 (+1.04%)
 

S&P PanicAfter a selloff on Monday the markets eased the rout a bit today. The whole day was calm and nothing much has been happening. The last trading hour the markets spiked up and reclaimed the 200 DMA support. It is said that “smart money” usually enter the market at the end of the trading session. If this was the case, we are probably finding the ground and we may turn up for a recovery.

But do not be too fast. Trump and his big mouth will make sure he screws it all up again. He announced a new list of goods with new tariffs against China. The only positive thing with this new 50 billion tariffs plan is that futures didn’t react on the news much and remained flat. Although it may change during the day it still looks like a good sign that the tariffs war is being priced in.

 
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