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Posted by Martin June 28, 2015

Should you short SPX on Monday upon a GREXIT?

I wouldn’t be so fast jumping the gun and short this market. Futures reacted very negatively on the Greek referendum announced by an irresponsible socialist government. Not only Greeks cannot afford the referendum, the whole EU cannot afford losses from Greeks. Although Greece is posting a nice drama (or tragic comedy actually) I believe all Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 17, 2015

Yellen Almost Admits Fed Not Ready to Raise Rates

  Peter Schiff’s report on Yellen’s talk about interest rates. Interesting video basically explaining why FED will not increase the rates and that all the talk is just a pretend of rates hike to make it look like FED wants to do it. If the recovery was really so good to justify the rates hike, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 16, 2015

Are the markets turning?

A few years ago, when I was training trading options, the trader from whom I was learning pointed out that the markets were turning down. Slowly reversing. And I remember I made quite nice money under his leadership. The chart looked like this: It was 2011 and the market corrected 16% those days (from July Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 15, 2015

4 Best-Positioned Upstream MLPs: MEMP, VNR, LRE, and LGCY.

Wunderlich Securities analyst Jay Dobson has a pretty glum assessment of upstream master limited partnerships (MLPS). These are exploration and production companies that have been hammered by energy price declines. Dobson writes in a June 15 industry report: The sector has too much debt on average and has suffered from the dramatic decline in oil, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin June 01, 2015

Path to nowhere continues. Where is SPX going tomorrow?

Monday was again as expected. I expected it to go higher at first to overcome Friday’s selling but then drift lower. At first the manufacturing data which came out better than expected but along with not so good economic data (mainly consumer spending) put the market on an upward trend. The market seems to love Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 31, 2015

Tech stocks are going to break out this week, will $SPX follow?

Tech stocks are about to break out in a big way, according to one top technician. “The Nasdaq Composite has outperformed the broader market this year, outpacing the S&P 500 [Index],” technical analyst Rich Ross said on CNBC’s “Trading Nation.” The Nasdaq Composite has rallied more than 7 percent year-to-date, while the S&P 500 is Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 28, 2015

Nothing exciting before GDP data adjustment.

The market did exactly what I expected. It went down and later recovered the selling. But the recovery wasn’t strong enough to push the market higher, so it ended down. Tomorrow we will see GDP revised. This may be a market mover. Will it be taken positively or negatively by the investors? Normally, I would Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 27, 2015

FED Conundrum

Sometimes I like to be wrong in my market move expectations. Like today. I expected the market to move lower yet it moved up. It recovered almost all losses from yesterday. I have a few long positions so it obvious that I wanted to be wrong in my expectations. It looks like, we have experienced Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 26, 2015

$SPX market expectation for Wednesday, May 27th

(05/26/2015 HS) – Market took a hit today. Quite large one, compared to the non-moves we have seen in previous days. The S&P 500 lost 1% today. It could have been more, but at the last hour the market rallied and erased some losses. Should we be worried? Hard to answer that question. The market Continue reading →

Posted by Martin May 25, 2015

$SPX market expectation for Tuesday, May 26th

(05/25/2015 HS) – On Friday, last week, I expected the market to move higher. I expected FED to be taken positively by investors as they would see that FED will most likely postpone interest rates hike due to slowing economy. I didn’t have time to watch or read what actually Yellen said, but overall results Continue reading →