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Archive for January, 2016

Posted by Martin January 13, 2016

Selling continues towards August lows

An interesting parallel to save the market. This market is a rip for dividend investors and a nightmare for traders. All over the internet we see traders expecting bottom and bullish reversal. It is not happening and more selling is coming every day. Pundits blame oil and China. I blame slowing economy, gloomy economic outlook, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin January 10, 2016

What a halted commerce tells us about economy?

Transportation sector is usually the first one which signals trouble with the market and economy overall. But transportation sector is a wide branch. So take a look at one significant portion of it – maritime transportation. Typically, majority of goods are still transported by sea using large cargo ships and tankers. Typically, you can see Continue reading →

Posted by Martin January 10, 2016

Is selling over? Should you trade this market?

Futures are down again at the opening. It can mean nothing yet. We can see the market improve significantly overnight and we may see a rally. Some traders and investors are asking whether it is already time to start buying calls or selling puts. They are expecting the market to reverse. Yes we are oversold, Continue reading →

Posted by Martin January 08, 2016

Should we really blame China?

  A few days ago the market was selling hard and media blamed China and their circuit breaker and worries over Chinese slowing economy. Then media blamed North Korean hydrogen bomb for a selloff. A day before yesterday, they blamed China and their circuit breakers again. Yesterday, China removed the breaker feature and their market Continue reading →

Posted by Martin January 07, 2016

Are you panicking yet?

Did you know that panic selling by retail investors (like you and me) is the worst thing you can ever do? Studies prove that when a retail investor finally gives up and decides to sell his losing stock positions, it is always already late. (Source: S&P, BofA, Merrill Lynch)     It is the same Continue reading →

Posted by Martin January 07, 2016

Here is why I consider this market bearish

Look at the chart. I use regression channel. It is a study provided for free in TOS. So the lines of the regression channel shown on the chart are drawn automatically by the study based on the price action of the underlying. It is as automatic as Bollinger Bands. It is expected that the price Continue reading →

My Options trading 2015 year end report and goals for 2016

UPDATE 03/01/2016   A few months into the new year I realized that my trading strategy and goals for 2016 had to be changed. My SPX trading didn’t work and didn’t make money. In January I lost substantial money and in February I was going for a large loss too. I was very close to Continue reading →

Posted by Martin January 05, 2016

Atlanta FED voted for rate hike but lowered GDP forecast again!

Data (in)dependent Janet Yellen and her FED cronies decided to raise rates to show us their good faith in the US economy. By raising the rates FED was “signaling their faith” pointing to “improvement of the labor market” but completely ignoring all economic data indicating that the US economy is in reality slowing down and Continue reading →

My Dividend investing 2015 year end report and goals for 2016

If you follow my blog you know that I developed from a chaotic, ignorant investor (sucker) into a dividend investor and later progressed into a chaotic, ignorant options sucker (hoping one day progressing into a trader).   A few years ago I created a plan to build a dividend portfolio for my retirement and learn Continue reading →

Dividend stock picks and market outlook for 2016

I expect 2016 to be a bad year as we are heading towards a recession. I still believe FED had it wrong and raising rates was a bad move, although it was a minor hike, it will still do the damage. Generally, higher rates is an economic brake preventing fast growing economy from overheating. We Continue reading →